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Alhaurin vs Marbella

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2021/2022
Sun, Dec 19, 2021
0 - 3
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alhaurin host Marbella in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2021/2022. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Alhaurin at 0.87 goals for, 1.6 against; Marbella at 1.37 for, 1.73 against. Past meetings favor Marbella slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2022, ending 5:0. xG projections (1.23 - 1.24) back Marbella to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Alhaurin
20%
Draws
40%
Marbella
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Marbella have won more games recently than Alhaurin.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Alhaurin Clean Sheet 19%
Marbella Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alhaurin Marbella
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.87 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbella vs Alhaurin
5:0
Dec 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs Marbella
0:3
May 18, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs Marbella
0:3
Jan 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbella vs Alhaurin
1:1
May 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurin vs Marbella
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alhaurin 32 / 100
Marbella 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alhaurin Marbella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marbella has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Alhaurin's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Alhaurin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marbella
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alhaurin

(Home)
24 Apr
Marbella
5 : 0
Alhaurin
17 Apr
Alhaurin
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
09 Apr
Huetor Tajar
4 : 1
Alhaurin
03 Apr
Alhaurin
0 : 0
Torremolinos
27 Mar
Atletico de Porcuna
0 : 1
Alhaurin
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Marbella

(Away)
20 Sept
Marbella
4 : 1
Atletico Central
13 Sept
Sevilla B
3 : 0
Marbella
06 Sept
Marbella
2 : 2
Sanluqueno
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0
Marbella
22 May
Marbella
3 : 1
Teruel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torremolinos 32 17 12 3 45:21 63
2 Huetor Tajar 32 16 10 6 56:30 58
3 Marbella 32 18 4 10 53:26 58
4 Almeria B 32 16 9 7 59:31 57
5 Malaga B 32 17 6 9 51:38 57
6 Motril 32 17 5 10 59:37 56
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 32 14 13 5 55:35 55
8 Torre del Mar 32 14 7 11 52:40 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 32 11 9 12 42:47 42
10 El Palo 32 11 8 13 40:40 41
11 Huetor Vega 32 9 12 11 33:38 39
12 CD Torreperogil 32 10 8 14 28:36 38
13 Jaen 32 9 12 11 31:43 36
14 Alhaurin 32 9 7 16 28:49 34
15 UD San Pedro 32 7 7 18 26:48 28
16 CD Alhaurino 32 6 9 17 40:53 27
17 Intergym Melilla 32 0 4 28 13:99 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2021/2022 (Play Offs)