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Ali CSC vs Al Najma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2024/2025
Ali CSC Logo

Ali CSC

1 - 3
FT
Al Najma Logo

Al Najma

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
da Silva R.
21' Event
Al Marmour M.
27' Event
Diarra Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Najma in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Najma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ali CSC
15%
Draws
59%
Al Najma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Najma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Najma lately — more wins on the board than Ali CSC.
  • Model gives Ali CSC a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ali CSC Clean Sheet 20%
Al Najma Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ali CSC Al Najma
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Premier League
Al Najma vs Ali CSC
1:2
Jan 11, 2025 Premier League
Ali CSC vs Al Najma
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ali CSC Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Al Najma Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Marmour M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diarra Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ali CSC 36 / 100
Al Najma 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ali CSC Al Najma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Ali CSC scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Al Najma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Ali CSC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Najma
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ali CSC

(Home)
09 Jun
Al Hala
1 : 2
Ali CSC
04 Jun
Ali CSC
0 : 1
Bahrain SC
31 May
Ali CSC
0 : 0
Isa Town
26 May
Ali CSC
0 : 2
Al Muharraq
22 May
Al Khalidiyah
1 : 0
Ali CSC
Page 1 of 6

Al Najma

(Away)
11 Sept
Al Najma
2 : 3
East Riffa
02 Sept
Malkia
0 : 1
Al Najma
27 Aug
Al Najma
2 : 7
Al Khalidiyah
30 May
Al Najma
3 : 2
Manama Club
25 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 3
Al Najma
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Muharraq 22 16 3 3 54:17 51
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 13 3 6 40:26 42
3 Sitra 22 10 8 4 33:21 38
4 Al Riffa 22 11 5 6 39:27 38
5 Al Shabbab 22 7 9 6 23:23 30
6 Malkia 22 6 10 6 23:27 28
7 Al Ahli 22 8 3 11 32:35 27
8 Al Najma 22 7 6 9 29:29 27
9 Bahrain SC 22 6 5 11 27:41 23
10 Ali CSC 22 6 5 11 26:37 23
11 East Riffa 22 4 8 10 21:31 20
12 Manama Club 22 2 7 13 15:48 13
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)