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Ali CSC vs East Riffa

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
O'Connell C.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Ali CSC and East Riffa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ali CSC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ali CSC
20%
Draws
40%
East Riffa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ali CSC's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what East Riffa have produced (1.07).
  • Model gives Ali CSC a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ali CSC Clean Sheet 20%
East Riffa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ali CSC East Riffa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Premier League
Ali CSC vs East Riffa
1:0
Jan 24, 2025 King's Cup
East Riffa vs Ali CSC
2:0
Jan 16, 2025 Premier League
East Riffa vs Ali CSC
1:1
May 30, 2023 Premier League
East Riffa vs Ali CSC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ali CSC Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Connell C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

East Riffa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ali CSC 40 / 100
East Riffa 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ali CSC East Riffa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ali CSC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ali CSC found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

East Riffa has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Away concern: East Riffa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ali CSC VS East Riffa
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ali CSC

(Home)
09 Jun
Al-Hala
1 : 2
Ali CSC
04 Jun
Ali CSC
0 : 1
Bahrain SC
31 May
Ali CSC
0 : 0
Isa Town
26 May
Ali CSC
0 : 2
Al-Muharraq
22 May
Al Khalidiyah
1 : 0
Ali CSC
Page 1 of 6

East Riffa

(Away)
11 Sept
Al-Najma
2 : 3
East Riffa
02 Sept
East Riffa
0 : 0
Sitra
28 Aug
East Riffa
0 : 2
Al-Hidd
12 Jan
East Riffa
1 : 2
Manama Club
26 May
East Riffa
0 : 2
Al-Shabbab
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Muharraq 22 16 3 3 54:17 51
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 13 3 6 40:26 42
3 Sitra 22 10 8 4 33:21 38
4 Al Riffa 22 11 5 6 39:27 38
5 Al-Shabbab 22 7 9 6 23:23 30
6 Malkia 22 6 10 6 23:27 28
7 Al-Ahli 22 8 3 11 32:35 27
8 Al-Najma 22 7 6 9 29:29 27
9 Bahrain SC 22 6 5 11 27:41 23
10 Ali CSC 22 6 5 11 26:37 23
11 East Riffa 22 4 8 10 21:31 20
12 Manama Club 22 2 7 13 15:48 13
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)