Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2011/2012

Aliados Lordelo

Sun, Aug 28, 2011

1 - 2

03:00 PM

AD Lousada

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AD Lousada in this Taça de Portugal 2011/2012 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Aliados Lordelo

15%

Draws

34%

AD Lousada

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aliados Lordelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Aliados Lordelo have won more games recently than AD Lousada.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Aliados Lordelo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor AD Lousada, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Aliados Lordelo Clean Sheet 19%

AD Lousada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aliados Lordelo	AD Lousada
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	7
Draws	4	8
Losses	15	15
Goals Scored	1.27	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.4	1.77
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2011 Taça de Portugal

Aliados Lordelo vs AD Lousada

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aliados Lordelo 32 / 100

AD Lousada 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aliados Lordelo AD Lousada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aliados Lordelo found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: AD Lousada conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: AD Lousada registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aliados Lordelo VS AD Lousada

1 Goals Scored 0.88

1.63 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aliados Lordelo

(Home)

10 Sept

Aliados Lordelo

1 : 3

SC Vianense

21 Sept

Oriental

1 : 0

Aliados Lordelo

01 Sept

Aliados Lordelo

3 : 2

Manteigas

21 Oct

Aliados Lordelo

0 : 2

Oliveirense

16 Sept

Aliados Lordelo

2 : 1

Sertanense

Page 1 of 6

AD Lousada

(Away)

01 Sept

Grijo

3 : 2

AD Lousada

29 Apr

AD Lousada

0 : 3

AD Fafe

22 Apr

CD Ribeira Brava

1 : 2

AD Lousada

15 Apr

AD Lousada

1 : 1

Ribeirao

07 Apr

Maritimo B

1 : 0

AD Lousada

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Sporting CP -

TBD -

U. Madeira -

TBD -

Cruzado Canicense 0

Famalicao 3

1º Dezembro -

TBD -

Louletano 0

Operario 2

TBD -

Braga -

Vizela 4

Despertar 1

Marinhense 0

AA Avanca 3

Fabril do Barreiro 2

Riachense 0

TBD -

AD Fafe -

Trofense -

TBD -

Uniao Montemor 2

CDR Quarteirense 3

Esposende 3

AD Valecambrense 2

TBD -

BSAD -

Benfica -

TBD -

GD Sourense 2

Melgacense 1

TBD -

Portimonense -

Macedo de Cavaleiros 4

CF Fao 0

TBD -

Atletico CP -

Freamunde -

TBD -

Naval -

Juv. Evora 2

Messinense 1

CF Canical 0

Carregado 4

Serzedelo 1

FC Alpendorada 0

TBD -

Esperanca de Lagos -

Beira Mar -

TBD -

Maritimo -

Moreirense -

TBD -

Maria de Fonte 1

SB Castelo Branco 2

Pinhalnovense -

TBD -

Ribeirao 0

AD Pontassolense 1

Coimbroes -

TBD -

Oliveira de Frades -

Lagoa 2

Aguia 1

Aliados Lordelo 1

AD Lousada 2

Rio Ave -

TBD -

Mafra -

TBD -

Alba 1

Sousense 3

Gil Vicente -

TBD -

SC Vila Real 1

1º de Maio Funchal 0

Bustelo 0

Torreense 3

Tirsense -

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Beneditense 3

SC Praiense 1

TBD -

Sampedrense -

SC Espinho 3

FC Madalena 1

CU Micaelense 0

Camara de Lobos 3

GD Tourizense 2

Tocha 1

TBD -

Sao Joao de Ver -

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 1

FC Cesarense 0

Senhorim 0

Chaves 7

Feirense -

TBD -

Nacional -

Oliveirense -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Paredes 5

Montijo 1

GD Braganca 2

SC Pombal 3

Anadia 1

SC Lusitania 0

Santiago FC 0

Amarante FC 6

Electrico FC 4

AD Limianos 0

Alcobaca 4

Tondela 5

Gondomar -

TBD -

Sesimbra -

Sporting Ideal 2

Fayal 0

TBD -

GD Joane -

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

Sertanense 1

Nogueirense 0

Oliveira Hospital 0

SC Mirandela 1

Estoril -

TBD -

Porto da Cruz 1

Sacavenense 2

Bairro da Argentina 3

Atletico SC 2

AD Oliveirense 2

Vila Mea 3

Merelinense -

TBD -

SC Angrense -

Rebordosa 2

Oliv. Bairro 1

TBD -

Penafiel -

GD Alcochetense 6

Bombarralense 2

Prainha 0

Penalva do Castelo 3

TBD -

Leiria -

FC Pampilhosa 3

Fatima 0

GD Peniche 0

FC Amares 1

TBD -

Olhanense -

Aves -

TBD -

Sintrense 0

Estrela Vendas Novas 2

Machico 2

Varzim 1

Real SC 0

Infesta 2

Moura AC 2

Grijo 0

SC Vianense 1

Cinfaes 2

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Covilha -

TBD -

SC Farense 0

Caldas SC 3

Marinhas -

TBD -

Guadalupe 0

Lamego 1

CD Portosantense 2

C.F. Benfica 1

Cerveira 0

Casa Pia 2

Pescadores Caparica 1

Meda 0

Camacha 0

CD Ribeira Brava 1

Leixoes -

TBD -

Arouca -

Estrela Calheta 1

Santana 0

CF Andorinha 0

Aljustrelense 2

Monsanto -

TBD -

Boavista Sao Mateus 0

Redondense 1

Padroense 2

O Elvas CAD 1

FC Crato 0

Santa Maria FC 6

FC Porto -

TBD -

Leca 2

Vilaverdense FC 0

TBD -

Pero Pinheiro -

Oriental 2

SL Cartaxo 1

TBD -

Oeiras -

TBD -

Academica -

1/64-finals

Sporting CP -

TBD -

U. Madeira 0

Famalicao 1

1º Dezembro 2

Operario 1

TBD -

Braga -

Vizela 2

AA Avanca 0

Fabril do Barreiro 0

AD Fafe 1

Trofense 1

CDR Quarteirense 0

Esposende 1

BSAD 5

Benfica -

TBD -

GD Sourense 0

Portimonense 3

Macedo de Cavaleiros 1

Atletico CP 0

Freamunde 1

Naval 3

Juv. Evora 2

Carregado 1

Serzedelo 0

Esperanca de Lagos 1

Beira Mar -

TBD -

Maritimo -

Moreirense 3

SB Castelo Branco 2

Pinhalnovense 0

AD Pontassolense 1

Coimbroes 3

Oliveira de Frades 1

Lagoa 1

AD Lousada 2

Rio Ave -

TBD -

Mafra 1

Sousense 2

Gil Vicente -

TBD -

SC Vila Real 0

Torreense 2

Tirsense 2

Santa Clara 1

Beneditense 0

Sampedrense 1

SC Espinho 4

Camara de Lobos 0

GD Tourizense 1

Sao Joao de Ver 4

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 0

Chaves 3

Feirense -

TBD -

Nacional -

Oliveirense 5

Academico Viseu 2

Paredes 0

SC Pombal 2

Anadia 3

Amarante FC 2

Electrico FC 0

Tondela 1

Gondomar 1

Sesimbra 0

Sporting Ideal 2

GD Joane 3

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

Sertanense 2

SC Mirandela 4

Estoril 2

Sacavenense 0

Bairro da Argentina 1

Vila Mea 2

Merelinense 4

SC Angrense 3

Rebordosa 0

Penafiel 6

GD Alcochetense 3

Penalva do Castelo 2

TBD -

Leiria -

FC Pampilhosa 2

FC Amares 1

TBD -

Olhanense -

Aves 2

Estrela Vendas Novas 0

Machico 1

Infesta 2

Moura AC 2

Cinfaes 1

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Covilha 4

Caldas SC 0

Marinhas 1

Lamego 2

CD Portosantense 1

Casa Pia 0

Pescadores Caparica 0

CD Ribeira Brava 1

Leixoes 2

Arouca 1

Estrela Calheta 0

Aljustrelense 2

Monsanto 5

Redondense 1

Padroense 0

Santa Maria FC 1

FC Porto -

TBD -

Leca 0

Pero Pinheiro 2

Oriental 1

Oeiras 0

TBD -

Academica -

1/32-finals

Sporting CP 2

Famalicao 0

1º Dezembro 1

Braga 3

Vizela 3

AD Fafe 2

Trofense 1

BSAD 2

Benfica 2

Portimonense 0

Macedo de Cavaleiros 1

Naval 2

Juv. Evora 2

Esperanca de Lagos 0

Beira Mar 0

Maritimo 1

Moreirense 3

AD Pontassolense 1

Coimbroes 0

AD Lousada 1

Rio Ave 5

Sousense 2

Gil Vicente 0

Torreense 1

Tirsense 3

Sampedrense 1

SC Espinho 1

Sao Joao de Ver 2

Pacos Ferreira 1

Chaves 0

Feirense 0

Nacional 1

Oliveirense 7

SC Pombal 1

Anadia 2

Tondela 3

Gondomar 1

GD Joane 0

Vitoria Setubal 0

SC Mirandela 1

Estoril 3

Vila Mea 1

Merelinense 2

Penafiel 3

GD Alcochetense 2

Leiria 1

FC Pampilhosa 0

Olhanense 3

Aves 4

Infesta 0

Moura AC 1

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Covilha 4

Lamego 1

CD Portosantense 0

CD Ribeira Brava 2

Leixoes 1

Aljustrelense 0

Monsanto 1

Santa Maria FC 2

FC Porto 8

Pero Pinheiro 0

Oriental 0

Academica 1

1/16-finals

Sporting CP 2

Braga 0

Vizela 0

BSAD 2

Benfica 1

Naval 0

Juv. Evora 0

Maritimo 1

Moreirense 7

AD Lousada 1

Rio Ave 2

Torreense 3

Tirsense 3

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Pacos Ferreira 2

Nacional 3

Oliveirense 1

Tondela 0

Gondomar 1

SC Mirandela 2

Estoril 2

Penafiel 1

GD Alcochetense 0

Olhanense 1

Aves 1

Vitoria Guimaraes 0

Covilha 0

CD Ribeira Brava 1

Leixoes 1

Santa Maria FC 0

FC Porto 0

Academica 3

1/8-finals

Sporting CP 2

BSAD 0

Benfica 1

Maritimo 2

Moreirense 2

Torreense 1

Tirsense 0

Nacional 1

Oliveirense 2

SC Mirandela 1

Estoril 2

Olhanense 3

Aves 2

CD Ribeira Brava 1

Leixoes 2

Academica 5

Quarter-finals

Sporting CP 3

Maritimo 0

Moreirense 2

Nacional 3

Oliveirense 2

Olhanense 1

Aves 2

Academica 3

Semi-finals

Sporting CP 5

Nacional 3

Oliveirense 2

Academica 3

Final

Sporting CP 0

Academica 1

Aliados Lordelo vs AD Lousada

Portugal

Aliados Lordelo

AD Lousada

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Aliados Lordelo

AD Lousada

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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