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Aliados Lordelo vs SC Angrense

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aliados Lordelo in this Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aliados Lordelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aliados Lordelo
6%
Draws
4%
SC Angrense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aliados Lordelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aliados Lordelo lately — more wins on the board than SC Angrense.
  • Aliados Lordelo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Aliados Lordelo Clean Sheet 13%
SC Angrense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aliados Lordelo SC Angrense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1 0.38
Goals Conceded 3 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
Aliados Lordelo vs SC Angrense
2:1
Oct 30, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
SC Angrense vs Aliados Lordelo
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aliados Lordelo 84 / 100
SC Angrense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aliados Lordelo SC Angrense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Angrense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Aliados Lordelo scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

SC Angrense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aliados Lordelo VS SC Angrense
1 Goals Scored 0.38
3 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 25%
100% Over 2.5 13%
100% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tondela30196549:2263
2SC Espinho30195650:3262
3Operario30157834:2652
4Boavista301551043:3150
5Amarante FC301310748:3049
6Sao Joao de Ver301541143:4649
7Gondomar301351227:3144
8Cinfaes301271135:4043
9Coimbroes30915630:3142
10Anadia301171245:4240
11Padroense301161347:5039
12Aliados Lordelo301071341:4037
13Oliv. Bairro30771634:5028
14SC Angrense30581736:4923
15Paredes30651930:5023
16FC Madalena30561932:5421