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Aliados Lordelo vs Tondela

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 game between Aliados Lordelo and Tondela finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tondela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Aliados Lordelo
15%
Draws
51%
Tondela
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tondela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tondela come out ahead of Aliados Lordelo on wins alone.
  • Tondela are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Tondela have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Aliados Lordelo Clean Sheet 20%
Tondela Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aliados Lordelo Tondela
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 10
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
Aliados Lordelo vs Tondela
0:2
Nov 13, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Tondela vs Aliados Lordelo
2:0
Apr 30, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Tondela vs Aliados Lordelo
1:1
Jan 16, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Aliados Lordelo vs Tondela
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aliados Lordelo 12 / 100
Tondela 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aliados Lordelo Tondela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tondela Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aliados Lordelo found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Tondela let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Aliados Lordelo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tondela
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aliados Lordelo

(Home)
10 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
1 : 3
SC Vianense
21 Sept
Oriental
1 : 0
Aliados Lordelo
01 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
3 : 2
Manteigas
21 Oct
Aliados Lordelo
0 : 2
Oliveirense
16 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
2 : 1
Sertanense
Page 1 of 6

Tondela

(Away)
19 Sept
Imortal
1 : 5
Tondela
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2
Tondela
05 Sept
Tondela
3 : 0
FC Porto B
28 Aug
Leiria
2 : 0
Tondela
21 Aug
Tondela
0 : 2
Academica
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tondela 30 19 6 5 49:22 63
2 SC Espinho 30 19 5 6 50:32 62
3 Operario 30 15 7 8 34:26 52
4 Boavista 30 15 5 10 43:31 50
5 Amarante FC 30 13 10 7 48:30 49
6 Sao Joao de Ver 30 15 4 11 43:46 49
7 Gondomar 30 13 5 12 27:31 44
8 Cinfaes 30 12 7 11 35:40 43
9 Coimbroes 30 9 15 6 30:31 42
10 Anadia 30 11 7 12 45:42 40
11 Padroense 30 11 6 13 47:50 39
12 Aliados Lordelo 30 10 7 13 41:40 37
13 Oliv. Bairro 30 7 7 16 34:50 28
14 SC Angrense 30 5 8 17 36:49 23
15 Paredes 30 6 5 19 30:50 23
16 FC Madalena 30 5 6 19 32:54 21
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)