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Aliaga vs Trabzon FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Ozek A.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 game between Aliaga and Trabzon FK finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aliaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Aliaga
15%
Draws
31%
Trabzon FK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aliaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aliaga come out ahead of Trabzon FK on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Aliaga Clean Sheet 68%
Trabzon FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aliaga Trabzon FK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.03 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Aliaga vs Trabzon FK
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Trabzon FK vs Aliaga
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aliaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozek A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Trabzon FK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aliaga 41 / 100
Trabzon FK 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aliaga Trabzon FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aliaga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aliaga scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Trabzon FK conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Aliaga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aliaga VS Trabzon FK
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aliaga

(Home)
03 Oct
Erbaaspor
2 : 4
Aliaga
27 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 1
Sanliurfaspor
19 Sept
Elazigspor
5 : 0
Aliaga
13 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 0
Isparta 32 Spor
06 Sept
Arnavutkoy Bl.
1 : 4
Aliaga
Page 1 of 6

Trabzon FK

(Away)
03 Oct
Trabzon FK
4 : 1
Serik Spor
27 Sept
12 Bingol Spor
1 : 2
Trabzon FK
20 Sept
Trabzon FK
2 : 2
Ankara Demirspor
13 Sept
52 Orduspor
1 : 0
Trabzon FK
06 Sept
Trabzon FK
2 : 3
Sakaryaspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bursaspor 34 25 5 4 87:19 80
2 Mardin 1969 34 22 5 7 67:25 71
3 Musspor 34 21 7 6 82:35 70
4 Aliaga 34 21 6 7 81:32 69
5 K. Istklalspor 34 21 4 9 82:33 67
6 Isparta 32 Spor 34 18 9 7 70:36 63
7 Guzide Gebzespor 34 16 10 8 56:31 58
8 Menemenspor 34 15 6 13 57:51 51
9 Ankara Demirspor 34 14 7 13 47:47 49
10 Aksaray Bld. 34 11 14 9 52:38 47
11 Trabzon FK 34 13 8 13 54:51 47
12 Arnavutkoy Bl. 34 13 7 14 40:36 46
13 Fethiyespor 34 11 11 12 52:41 44
14 Kirklarelispor 34 9 9 16 44:49 36
15 Soma Spor 34 8 6 20 41:68 30
16 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 33 4 3 26 22:97 12
17 Adanaspor AS 33 2 1 30 14:159 1
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 34 0 2 32 8:114 -52
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)