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Alianca Futebol Clube U20 vs Atletico Cearense U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Ramos da Silva L. L.
74' Event
Joaozinho
84' Event
Vilamar

AI Match Summary

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 host Atletico Cearense U20 in the Cearense U20 2024. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Atletico Cearense U20 have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Alianca Futebol Clube U20 have conceded 2.5 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor Atletico Cearense U20 slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2025, ending 5:2. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.56, favoring Atletico Cearense U20. Atletico Cearense U20 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
44%
Draws
20%
Atletico Cearense U20
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Cearense U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Alianca Futebol Clube U20.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Cearense U20 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Atletico Cearense U20 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Atletico Cearense U20
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Cearense U20
Atletico Cearense U20 vs Alianca Futebol Clube U20
5:2
Jul 17, 2024 Cearense U20
Atletico Cearense U20 vs Alianca Futebol Clube U20
0:0
Jun 29, 2024 Cearense U20
Alianca Futebol Clube U20 vs Atletico Cearense U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joaozinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Atletico Cearense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos da Silva L. L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vilamar
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 35 / 100
Atletico Cearense U20 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Atletico Cearense U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 scored in 60% of their last 25 games.

Atletico Cearense U20 let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Cearense U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 VS Atletico Cearense U20
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Acopiara U20862020:320
2Iguatu U20842215:1114
3Icasa U2083056:139
4Crato U2082247:128
5Cariri FC U2081254:135
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Juventus CE U20870117:721
2Santa Cruz CE U20850316:615
3Sao Gerardo U20842215:814
4CA Cearense U2081258:125
5Alvinegro U2080266:292
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ceara U20861127:919
2Tirol U20860215:818
3Atletico Cearense U2083149:1210
4Alianca Futebol Clube U2081347:146
5Tiradentes U2080356:213
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fortaleza U20871036:622
2Ferroviario U20841317:1113
3Itapipoca U20841311:1013
4Caucaia U20830511:159
5Terra e Mar U2080171:341
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Horizonte U20641113:913
2Floresta EC U2062228:68
3Pacatuba U20622210:98
4Itarema U2061143:104