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Alianca Futebol Clube U20 vs Tiangua EC U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 play Tiangua EC U20 in the Cearense U20. Alianca Futebol Clube U20 are favorites here. Recently, Alianca Futebol Clube U20 averaged 1 goals scored and 2.04 conceded. Tiangua EC U20 averaged 0.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Alianca Futebol Clube U20 won 1, Tiangua EC U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Alianca Futebol Clube U20 and 1.27 for Tiangua EC U20. This points to a Alianca Futebol Clube U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
21%
Draws
17%
Tiangua EC U20
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Alianca Futebol Clube U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Alianca Futebol Clube U20 picked up more points recently compared to Tiangua EC U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.27 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Tiangua EC U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Tiangua EC U20
Matches Played 24 5
Wins 5 0
Draws 6 0
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1 0.2
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Cearense U20
Alianca Futebol Clube U20 vs Tiangua EC U20
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Karlyan
2 Goals
Assists Leader Janiel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tiangua EC U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.15
Avg xA / game 0.09

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 60 / 100
Tiangua EC U20 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Tiangua EC U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Alianca Futebol Clube U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 attacking → ← attacking Tiangua EC U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 scored in 58% of their last 24 games.

Tiangua EC U20 let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tiangua EC U20 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 0
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.17
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.33

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Quixada U2064118:413
2Ferroviario U2063215:611
3Floresta EC U2053115:310
4Atletico Cearense U2062225:58
5Fortaleza U20321010:27
6Alianca Futebol Clube U2051227:105
7Juazeiro CE U2060062:310
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ceara U20541017:413
2Tirol U20633016:212
3Vila Real U20623113:59
4Horizonte U2052128:87
5Caucaia U2051133:54
6Anjos do Ceu U2051043:103
7Tiangua EC U2050051:80