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Alianca Futebol Clube U20 vs Vila Real U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Costa J.
24'
Josue
34' Event
Janiel

AI Match Summary

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 in this Cearense U20 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alianca Futebol Clube U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
20%
Draws
10%
Vila Real U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alianca Futebol Clube U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Alianca Futebol Clube U20 have won more games recently than Vila Real U20.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Alianca Futebol Clube U20 taking it.
  • Regular Cearense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Vila Real U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Vila Real U20
Matches Played 26 9
Wins 6 2
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.15 1.78
Goals Conceded 2.12 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Cearense U20
Alianca Futebol Clube U20 vs Vila Real U20
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Janiel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Vila Real U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lima F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 34 / 100
Vila Real U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianca Futebol Clube U20 Vila Real U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 scored in 62% of their last 26 games.

Defensive concern: Vila Real U20 conceded in 67% of 9 recent games.

Solid form: Alianca Futebol Clube U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alianca Futebol Clube U20 VS Vila Real U20
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianca Futebol Clube U20

(Home)
18 Jul
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
3 : 2
Vila Real U20
08 Jul
Anjos do Ceu U20
4 : 3
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
03 Jul
Tirol U20
5 : 0
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
20 Jun
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
3 : 0
Tiangua EC U20
06 Jun
Caucaia U20
0 : 0
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
Page 1 of 6

Vila Real U20

(Away)
02 Aug
Ceara U20
3 : 1
Vila Real U20
25 Jul
Vila Real U20
0 : 2
Ceara U20
18 Jul
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
3 : 2
Vila Real U20
04 Jul
Fortaleza U20
2 : 2
Vila Real U20
20 Jun
Floresta EC U20
1 : 0
Vila Real U20
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floresta EC U20 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
2 Fortaleza U20 7 4 3 0 16:4 15
3 Ferroviario U20 7 4 2 1 6:6 14
4 Quixada U20 7 4 1 2 8:7 13
5 Atletico Cearense U20 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
6 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 7 2 2 3 13:16 8
7 Juazeiro CE U20 7 1 0 6 6:34 3
Promotion - Cearense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 7 5 2 0 20:4 17
2 Tirol U20 7 3 4 0 17:3 13
3 Vila Real U20 7 2 3 2 15:8 9
4 Anjos do Ceu U20 7 3 0 4 9:14 9
5 Horizonte U20 7 2 1 4 9:11 7
6 Caucaia U20 7 1 1 5 4:8 4
7 Tiangua EC U20 7 0 0 7 4:15 0
Promotion - Cearense U20 (Play Offs)