Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianca Futebol Clube vs Quixada

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Gleryston

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 3 2024 game between Alianca Futebol Clube and Quixada finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quixada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Alianca Futebol Clube
39%
Draws
31%
Quixada
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Quixada come out ahead of Alianca Futebol Clube on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Alianca Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 18%
Quixada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianca Futebol Clube Quixada
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 1 16
Draws 1 5
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2024 Cearense 3
Alianca Futebol Clube vs Quixada
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianca Futebol Clube Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Quixada Compare

Top Goalscorer Gleryston
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianca Futebol Clube 31 / 100
Quixada 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianca Futebol Clube Quixada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alianca Futebol Clube scored in 83% of their last 6 outings.

Quixada's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Quixada conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Quixada
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianca Futebol Clube

(Home)
28 Jul
Terra e Mar
4 : 1
Alianca Futebol Clube
22 Jul
Alianca Futebol Clube
1 : 1
Esporte Limoeiro
15 Jul
Alianca Futebol Clube
0 : 1
Quixada
06 Jul
Tiangua EC
2 : 1
Alianca Futebol Clube
02 Jul
Alianca Futebol Clube
1 : 2
Crato
Page 1 of 2

Quixada

(Away)
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
04 Feb
Maracana
2 : 3
Quixada
29 Jan
Quixada
0 : 1
Tirol
22 Jan
Quixada
1 : 2
Ferroviario
15 Jan
Fortaleza
4 : 0
Quixada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Quixada651010:316
2Esporte Limoeiro64118:313
3Crato631212:710
4Terra e Mar630312:119
5Tiangua EC63038:79
6Alianca Futebol Clube61145:104
7Itarema60061:150
Promotion - Cearense 3 2024 (Play Offs)