Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianca vs Zumbi

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

90'
Fabricio

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Alianca
30%
Draws
37%
Zumbi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zumbi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zumbi come out ahead of Alianca on wins alone.
  • Alianca are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Zumbi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zumbi, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Alianca Clean Sheet 15%
Zumbi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianca Zumbi
Matches Played 25 31
Wins 7 15
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.4 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.44 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Alagoano 2
Zumbi vs Alianca
1:0
May 10, 2026 Alagoano 2
Alianca vs Zumbi
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Alagoano 2
Alianca vs Zumbi
1:1
Sep 17, 2025 Alagoano 2
Zumbi vs Alianca
2:1
Oct 13, 2024 Alagoano 2
Alianca vs Zumbi
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianca 75 / 100
Zumbi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianca Zumbi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Alianca stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Alianca scored in 52% of their last 25 games.

Defensive concern: Zumbi conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Alianca VS Zumbi
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianca

(Home)
17 May
Zumbi
1 : 0
Alianca
10 May
Alianca
0 : 0
Zumbi
02 May
Alianca
9 : 0
Jacioba
26 Apr
Sao Domingos AL
2 : 6
Alianca
22 Apr
Alianca
1 : 6
Sporting FC
Page 1 of 5

Zumbi

(Away)
31 May
Sporting FC
2 : 2
Zumbi
24 May
Zumbi
0 : 2
Sporting FC
17 May
Zumbi
1 : 0
Alianca
10 May
Alianca
0 : 0
Zumbi
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Zumbi 1
Alianca 0
Sporting FC 5
Miguelense 0
Final
Zumbi 2
Sporting FC 4