Sport Picks
Alianza Atl. vs Cienciano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana 
Match Events
16'
16'
Penilla C.
23'
23'
Urciuoli F.
40'
40'
Lupu H.
AI Match Summary
Alianza Atl. in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alianza Atl..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza Atl.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Alianza Atl. lately — more wins on the board than Cienciano.
- Win probability leans Alianza Atl.'s way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 17%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alianza Atl. | Cienciano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 6, 2026 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Cienciano
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Alianza Atl.
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Cienciano
0:1
Jun 22, 2025 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Alianza Atl.
3:2
Oct 23, 2024 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Alianza Atl.
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alianza Atl. Compare
Top Goalscorer Molina J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22
Cienciano Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alianza Atl. 66 / 100
Cienciano 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alianza Atl. Cienciano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alianza Atl. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alianza Atl. scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Cienciano has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Alianza Atl. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alianza Atl. VS Cienciano
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Alianza Atl.
(Home) 06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0 Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5 Alianza Atl.
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0 Sport Boys
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Cajamarca
21 Aug
Alianza Atl.
3 : 1 Sporting Cristal
Page 1 of 3
Cienciano
(Away) 08 Oct
Moquegua
0 : 2 Cienciano
30 Sept
Cienciano
1 : 1 Los Chankas
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1 Cienciano
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0 Cienciano
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0 Montevideo City
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Moquegua
0 : 2 Cienciano
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1 Cienciano
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0 Cienciano
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5 Cienciano
23 Aug
Sport Boys
5 : 1 Cienciano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18:24 | 11 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
