Sport Picks
Alianza Atl. vs Comerciantes Unidos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana 
Match Events
10'
10'
Olivares J.
Assist: Sen M.
19'
19'
Molina J.
Assist: Diaz G.
25'
25'
Rodriguez A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between Alianza Atl. and Comerciantes Unidos finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alianza Atl..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza Atl.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Alianza Atl. carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Alianza Atl. a 64% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 15%
Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alianza Atl. | Comerciantes Unidos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Comerciantes Unidos
2:1
Apr 22, 2026 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Atl.
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Atl.
1:0
Jun 12, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Comerciantes Unidos
3:0
Sep 23, 2024 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Comerciantes Unidos
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alianza Atl. Compare
Top Goalscorer Molina J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Comerciantes Unidos Compare
Top Goalscorer Olivares J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alianza Atl. 75 / 100
Comerciantes Unidos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alianza Atl. Comerciantes Unidos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alianza Atl. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alianza Atl. found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).
Defensive concern: Comerciantes Unidos conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Alianza Atl. remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Alianza Atl. VS Comerciantes Unidos
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Alianza Atl.
(Home) 06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0 Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5 Alianza Atl.
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
Page 1 of 7
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0 Sport Boys
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Cajamarca
21 Aug
Alianza Atl.
3 : 1 Sporting Cristal
Page 1 of 4
Comerciantes Unidos
(Away) 18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
12 Sept
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3 FC Cajamarca
22 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 3 Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
22 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 3 Comerciantes Unidos
14 Aug
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
31 Jul
Los Chankas
3 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
