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Alianza Atl. vs Pirata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Copa de la Liga Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana
Alianza Atl. Logo

Alianza Atl.

3 - 2
FT
Pirata Logo

Pirata

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Perez J.
20' Event
Lugo K.
46'
Sub
Delgado J. In: Cornejo K.
Out: Delgado J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Alianza Atl.
20%
Draws
24%
Pirata
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Pirata haven't matched Alianza Atl.'s recent run of results.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Alianza Atl. taking it.
  • Alianza Atl. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Alianza Atl., who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 68%
Pirata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Atl. Pirata
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.73 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Alianza Atl. vs Pirata
3:2
Nov 18, 2020 Liga 2
Pirata vs Alianza Atl.
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Atl. Compare

Top Goalscorer Robaldo V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Perez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Pirata Compare

Top Goalscorer Lugo K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Atl. 95 / 100
Pirata 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Atl. Pirata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza Atl. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Atl.'s goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Pirata let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Alianza Atl. remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Atl. VS Pirata
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza Atl.

(Home)
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0
Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5
Alianza Atl.
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1
Comerciantes Unidos
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2
Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6

Pirata

(Away)
06 Oct
Pirata
2 : 0
Ayacucho
27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0
Pirata
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4
Carlos Mannucci
23 Aug
AD Cantolao
1 : 1
Pirata
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Alianza Atl. 3
Pirata 2
Cajamarca 4
ADA Jaen 1
Atletico Grau 2
Carlos Mannucci 1
Sport Boys 1
Comerciantes FC 0
Sporting Cristal 2
Tacna Heroica 1
Sport Huancayo 3
Los Chankas 1
Cienciano 2
AD Tarma 3
Moquegua 1
Deportivo Garcilaso 0
Quarter-finals
Alianza Atl. 2
Cajamarca 1
Atletico Grau 2
Sport Boys 3
Sporting Cristal 4
Sport Huancayo 1
AD Tarma 2
Moquegua 0
Semi-finals
Alianza Atl. 8
Sport Boys 2
Sporting Cristal 6
AD Tarma 0
Final
Alianza Atl. -
Sporting Cristal -