Sport Picks

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Alianza Atl. vs Sport Victoria

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2019 Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana
Sat, Aug 31, 2019
3 - 0
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianza Atl. host Sport Victoria in the Liga 2 2019. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Alianza Atl. have averaged 1 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Sport Victoria's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Head-to-head, Alianza Atl. have won 4 to Sport Victoria's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 31, 2019, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 1.25) point toward Alianza Atl.. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alianza Atl.
6%
Draws
4%
Sport Victoria
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Alianza Atl. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Alianza Atl. a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 2 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Alianza Atl. have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 19%
Sport Victoria Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Atl. Sport Victoria
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 24
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2019 Liga 2
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Victoria
3:0
Aug 11, 2019 Liga 2
Sport Victoria vs Alianza Atl.
0:3
Sep 23, 2018 Liga 2
Sport Victoria vs Alianza Atl.
0:3
Jun 16, 2018 Liga 2
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Victoria
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Atl. 85 / 100
Sport Victoria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Atl. Sport Victoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sport Victoria conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Sport Victoria's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Alianza Atl.'s goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Atl. VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza Atl.

(Home)
18 Jul
Cusco
4 : 1
Alianza Atl.
10 Jul
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2
Pirata
28 Jun
A. Lima
1 : 2
Alianza Atl.
19 Jun
Alianza Atl.
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
13 Jun
Carlos Mannucci
0 : 1
Alianza Atl.
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Sport Victoria

(Away)
09 Nov
Sport Victoria
0 : 3
Atletico Grau
02 Nov
Comerciantes Unidos
3 : 0
Sport Victoria
26 Oct
Sport Victoria
0 : 3
Sport Loreto
19 Oct
Los Chankas
3 : 0
Sport Victoria
12 Oct
Sport Victoria
0 : 3
Cienciano
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cienciano22142656:2644
2Alianza Atl.22134545:2143
3Juan Aurich22133635:2442
4Atletico Grau22132752:3041
5Santos FC22125529:2141
6Deportivo Coopsol22123739:2739
7Comerciantes Unidos22103932:3333
8Union Huaral2287730:2931
9Los Chankas22931025:3330
10Sport Loreto22531428:4615
11Los Caimanes22221821:555
12Sport Victoria2221199:567
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