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Alianza Atl. vs Universitario de Deportes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianza Atl. host Universitario de Deportes in the Liga 1. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Alianza Atl. have averaged 1.73 scored and 1.27 conceded recently, against Universitario de Deportes's 1.38 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Alianza Atl. have won 2 to Universitario de Deportes's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.81 - 1.56) back Alianza Atl. to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Alianza Atl.
15%
Draws
39%
Universitario de Deportes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alianza Atl. lately — more wins on the board than Universitario de Deportes.
  • Model gives Alianza Atl. a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 15%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Atl. Universitario de Deportes
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 18 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.73 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Atl.
1:2
Oct 1, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Universitario de Deportes
0:2
May 11, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Atl.
0:1
Sep 15, 2024 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Universitario de Deportes
0:3
Apr 6, 2024 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Atl.
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Atl. 75 / 100
Universitario de Deportes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Atl. Universitario de Deportes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza Atl. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Atl. found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

Universitario de Deportes has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Alianza Atl. remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Atl. VS Universitario de Deportes
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza Atl.

(Home)
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0
Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5
Alianza Atl.
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1
Comerciantes Unidos
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2
Cajamarca
Page 1 of 7

Universitario de Deportes

(Away)
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0
Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2
Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2
Comerciantes Unidos
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4
Universitario de Deportes
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0
Los Chankas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 11 7 1 3 18:7 22
2 Sport Huancayo 11 7 1 3 17:13 22
3 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
4 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
5 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
11 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
14 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)