Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza FC vs Aguila

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Andrada F.
(Penalty)
89' Event
Martinez J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Alianza FC and Aguila finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Alianza FC
22%
Draws
18%
Aguila
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Alianza FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aguila come out ahead of Alianza FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Alianza FC a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Aguila have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 68%
Aguila Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza FC Aguila
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Aguila
0:2
May 6, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Alianza FC
2:1
Apr 16, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Aguila
0:2
Feb 19, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Alianza FC
0:3
Nov 2, 2025 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Aguila
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Aguila Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza FC 68 / 100
Aguila 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza FC Aguila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza FC scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Alianza FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Aguila conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza FC VS Aguila
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza FC

(Home)
26 Jul
Inca Aruba
1 : 3
Alianza FC
10 May
Alianza FC
0 : 2
Aguila
06 May
Aguila
2 : 1
Alianza FC
01 May
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1
Alianza FC
26 Apr
Alianza FC
4 : 2
Zacatecoluca FC
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Aguila

(Away)
26 Jul
Aguila
1 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
24 May
Aguila
0 : 3
FAS
17 May
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 2
Aguila
13 May
Aguila
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
10 May
Alianza FC
0 : 2
Aguila
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FAS22165149:1653
2Luis Angel Firpo22135434:2044
3Alianza FC22114736:3037
4Inter Santa Tecla22106627:2536
5Municipal Limeno22105733:2135
6Aguila22105727:2435
7Metapan2269723:3027
8Cacahuatique2268824:2826
9Platense Municipal22481024:3120
10Hercules22471127:4319
11Fuerte San Francisco22281218:3514
12Zacatecoluca FC22341523:4213
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)