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Alianza FC vs Atletico Balboa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Rodriguez Arias N. A.
90' Event
Rivera N.

AI Match Summary

Alianza FC in this Primera Division matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alianza FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Alianza FC
35%
Draws
26%
Atletico Balboa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alianza FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Alianza FC have won more games recently than Atletico Balboa.
  • Model gives Alianza FC a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Balboa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza FC Atletico Balboa
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.26 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.34 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Atletico Balboa
2:0
Apr 3, 2011 Primera Division
Atletico Balboa vs Alianza FC
2:1
Feb 13, 2011 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Atletico Balboa
1:1
Nov 14, 2010 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Atletico Balboa
0:0
Sep 12, 2010 Primera Division
Atletico Balboa vs Alianza FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez Arias N. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivera N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.67

Atletico Balboa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza FC 68 / 100
Atletico Balboa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza FC Atletico Balboa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza FC's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Atletico Balboa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Alianza FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alianza FC VS Atletico Balboa
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza FC

(Home)
09 Oct
FAS
2 : 1
Alianza FC
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Platense Municipal
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
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Atletico Balboa

(Away)
03 Oct
Metapan
3 : 2
Atletico Balboa
29 Sept
Atletico Balboa
0 : 2
Cacahuatique
27 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 1
Atletico Balboa
20 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
3 : 1
Atletico Balboa
12 Sept
Atletico Balboa
3 : 1
Platense Municipal
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luis Angel Firpo 14 8 4 2 26:11 28
2 FAS 13 8 3 2 24:12 27
3 Metapan 13 8 2 3 20:12 26
4 Inter Santa Tecla 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
5 Aguila 14 5 5 4 22:18 20
6 Platense Municipal 15 5 4 6 19:20 19
7 Alianza FC 13 4 6 3 20:19 18
8 Municipal Limeno 15 5 2 8 21:22 17
9 Inca Aruba 15 4 4 7 13:27 16
10 Atletico Balboa 14 3 4 7 15:22 13
11 Fuerte San Francisco 15 2 6 7 11:24 12
12 Cacahuatique 15 2 5 8 15:26 11
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)