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Alianza FC vs Inter Santa Tecla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianza FC host Inter Santa Tecla in the Primera Division. This one's hard to separate. Alianza FC have averaged 1.26 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against Inter Santa Tecla's 1.3 scored and 1.15 conceded. Head-to-head, Alianza FC have won 1 to Inter Santa Tecla's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.00) point toward Inter Santa Tecla. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Alianza FC
35%
Draws
26%
Inter Santa Tecla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alianza FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Inter Santa Tecla average 1.3 goals a game right now, well clear of Alianza FC's 1.26.
  • Model gives Alianza FC a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 20%
Inter Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza FC Inter Santa Tecla
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.26 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Alianza FC
2:0
Mar 15, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Alianza FC
2:0
Jan 29, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Inter Santa Tecla
1:3
Sep 22, 2025 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Alianza FC
0:1
Jul 20, 2025 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Inter Santa Tecla
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza FC 40 / 100
Inter Santa Tecla 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza FC Inter Santa Tecla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Alianza FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Alianza FC's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Inter Santa Tecla conceded in 59% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza FC VS Inter Santa Tecla
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza FC

(Home)
01 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Platense Municipal
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
20 Sept
Alianza FC
3 : 2
Municipal Limeno
17 Sept
Alianza FC
0 : 0
Motagua
Page 1 of 7

Inter Santa Tecla

(Away)
30 Sept
Aguila
2 : 1
Inter Santa Tecla
27 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 1
Atletico Balboa
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Metapan
17 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 2
FAS
13 Sept
Cacahuatique
0 : 2
Inter Santa Tecla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metapan 13 8 2 3 20:12 26
2 Luis Angel Firpo 13 7 4 2 23:9 25
3 FAS 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
4 Inter Santa Tecla 13 5 6 2 18:11 21
5 Aguila 14 5 5 4 22:18 20
6 Alianza FC 12 4 6 2 19:17 18
7 Municipal Limeno 13 5 2 6 18:17 17
8 Inca Aruba 13 4 3 6 11:22 15
9 Platense Municipal 13 3 4 6 13:18 13
10 Atletico Balboa 14 3 4 7 15:22 13
11 Cacahuatique 14 2 5 7 14:24 11
12 Fuerte San Francisco 13 1 5 7 8:22 8
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)