Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza FC vs Luis Angel Firpo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Mier M.
40' Event
Diaz N.
81' Event
Valencia J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Alianza FC and Luis Angel Firpo finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Alianza FC
35%
Draws
36%
Luis Angel Firpo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Luis Angel Firpo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Luis Angel Firpo come out ahead of Alianza FC on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 19%
Luis Angel Firpo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza FC Luis Angel Firpo
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 18
Draws 12 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.3 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2026 Copa Presidente
Luis Angel Firpo vs Alianza FC
0:0
Oct 7, 2026 Copa Presidente
Luis Angel Firpo vs Alianza FC
0:0
Oct 4, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Luis Angel Firpo
2:2
Sep 17, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Alianza FC
0:0
Mar 22, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Alianza FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mier M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivas Linares E. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Luis Angel Firpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valencia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza FC 32 / 100
Luis Angel Firpo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza FC Luis Angel Firpo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luis Angel Firpo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Alianza FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Alianza FC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Luis Angel Firpo let in goals in 48% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Alianza FC VS Luis Angel Firpo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Platense Municipal
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
20 Sept
Alianza FC
3 : 2
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 6

Luis Angel Firpo

(Away)
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
24 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 0
Cacahuatique
20 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
3 : 1
Atletico Balboa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Luis Angel Firpo 14 8 4 2 26:11 28
3 Metapan 14 8 2 4 20:15 26
4 Aguila 15 6 5 4 25:18 23
5 Inter Santa Tecla 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
6 Platense Municipal 15 5 4 6 19:20 19
7 Alianza FC 13 4 6 3 20:19 18
8 Municipal Limeno 15 5 2 8 21:22 17
9 Inca Aruba 15 4 4 7 13:27 16
10 Atletico Balboa 15 3 4 8 15:23 13
11 Fuerte San Francisco 15 2 6 7 11:24 12
12 Cacahuatique 15 2 5 8 15:26 11
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)