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Alianza FC vs Metapan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianza FC host Metapan in the Primera Division. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Alianza FC at 1.31 goals for, 1.34 against; Metapan at 1.22 for, 1.22 against. Past meetings favor Alianza FC slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (0.84 - 1.19) back Alianza FC to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Alianza FC
35%
Draws
44%
Metapan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Metapan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Alianza FC at 1.31 per game, Metapan at 1.22.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 20%
Metapan Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza FC Metapan
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.84 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Alianza FC
2:0
Apr 21, 2026 Copa Presidente
Metapan vs Alianza FC
1:1
Apr 8, 2026 Copa Presidente
Alianza FC vs Metapan
3:1
Apr 2, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Alianza FC
0:0
Feb 5, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Metapan
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza FC 32 / 100
Metapan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza FC Metapan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metapan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza FC found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Metapan let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Alianza FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza FC VS Metapan
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.43
75% Over 1.5 43%
63% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza FC

(Home)
09 Oct
FAS
2 : 1
Alianza FC
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Platense Municipal
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
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Metapan

(Away)
03 Oct
Metapan
3 : 2
Atletico Balboa
27 Sept
Metapan
2 : 0
Cacahuatique
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Metapan
13 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 2
Metapan
09 Sept
Platense Municipal
1 : 2
Metapan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 13 8 3 2 24:12 27
2 Metapan 13 8 2 3 20:12 26
3 Luis Angel Firpo 13 7 4 2 23:9 25
4 Inter Santa Tecla 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
5 Aguila 14 5 5 4 22:18 20
6 Platense Municipal 15 5 4 6 19:20 19
7 Alianza FC 13 4 6 3 20:19 18
8 Municipal Limeno 14 5 2 7 19:19 17
9 Inca Aruba 15 4 4 7 13:27 16
10 Atletico Balboa 14 3 4 7 15:22 13
11 Cacahuatique 14 2 5 7 14:24 11
12 Fuerte San Francisco 14 1 6 7 9:23 9
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)