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Alianza FC vs Municipal Limeno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador
Alianza FC Logo

Alianza FC

3 - 2
FT
Municipal Limeno Logo

Municipal Limeno

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Rodriguez Arias N. A.
23' Event
Torres Pena W. E.
56'
Rodriguez Arias N. A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Alianza FC and Municipal Limeno finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alianza FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Alianza FC
30%
Draws
23%
Municipal Limeno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alianza FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Municipal Limeno come out ahead of Alianza FC on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 68%
Municipal Limeno Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza FC Municipal Limeno
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 4
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Municipal Limeno
3:2
Apr 19, 2026 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Alianza FC
0:0
Feb 22, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Municipal Limeno
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Municipal Limeno
3:0
Nov 23, 2025 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Alianza FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez Arias N. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moura G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Municipal Limeno Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres Pena W. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza FC 41 / 100
Municipal Limeno 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza FC Municipal Limeno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alianza FC scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Municipal Limeno has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Alianza FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alianza FC VS Municipal Limeno
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza FC

(Home)
09 Oct
FAS
2 : 1
Alianza FC
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Platense Municipal
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

Municipal Limeno

(Away)
04 Oct
Platense Municipal
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
02 Oct
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
27 Sept
Municipal Limeno
1 : 3
FAS
20 Sept
Alianza FC
3 : 2
Municipal Limeno
13 Sept
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 2
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luis Angel Firpo 14 8 4 2 26:11 28
2 FAS 13 8 3 2 24:12 27
3 Metapan 13 8 2 3 20:12 26
4 Inter Santa Tecla 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
5 Aguila 14 5 5 4 22:18 20
6 Platense Municipal 15 5 4 6 19:20 19
7 Alianza FC 13 4 6 3 20:19 18
8 Municipal Limeno 15 5 2 8 21:22 17
9 Inca Aruba 15 4 4 7 13:27 16
10 Atletico Balboa 14 3 4 7 15:22 13
11 Fuerte San Francisco 15 2 6 7 11:24 12
12 Cacahuatique 15 2 5 8 15:26 11
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)