Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza Huanuco vs Sport Boys

Peru Peru

Liga 1 2025 Estadio Heraclio Tapia
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Urruti L.
Assist: Martinez F.
15'
Martinez F.
16' Event
Lopez C.
Assist: Carbajal C.

AI Match Summary

Sport Boys in this Liga 1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sport Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alianza Huanuco
39%
Draws
30%
Sport Boys
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Alianza Huanuco average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Sport Boys's 1.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga 1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 22%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Huanuco Sport Boys
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Huanuco vs Sport Boys
2:3
May 4, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Alianza Huanuco
4:2
Aug 4, 2021 Liga 1
Alianza Huanuco vs Sport Boys
2:0
Apr 24, 2021 Liga 1
Alianza Huanuco vs Sport Boys
1:0
Nov 21, 2020 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Alianza Huanuco
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Huanuco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sport Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Urruti L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Huanuco 32 / 100
Sport Boys 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Huanuco Sport Boys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Huanuco's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Alianza Huanuco remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Sport Boys conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Huanuco VS Sport Boys
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Deportes17124129:1340
2Cusco17113329:1536
3Sporting Cristal1794429:1331
4A. Lima1794430:1931
5Cienciano1783625:2127
6Los Chankas1790821:2827
7Comerciantes Unidos1775520:2126
8FBC Melgar1767424:1725
9Deportivo Garcilaso1767420:2125
10AD Tarma1774619:2025
11Alianza Atl.1765615:1223
12Sport Huancayo1753928:2818
13Alianza Huanuco17521023:3317
14Atletico Grau1744919:2416
15Sport Boys1744914:2516
16Juan Pablo II1735913:2314
17Ayacucho17421116:2914
18Cajamarca17341016:2813
19Binacional00000:00