Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza Huanuco vs Sport Huancayo

Peru Peru

Copa de la Liga Estadio Heraclio Tapia, Huánuco
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Lujan N.
90' Event
Zeta H.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Alianza Huanuco
44%
Draws
20%
Sport Huancayo
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alianza Huanuco come out ahead of Sport Huancayo on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Alianza Huanuco have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sport Huancayo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.8%
Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 17%
Sport Huancayo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Huanuco Sport Huancayo
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Alianza Huanuco vs Sport Huancayo
1:1
Sep 30, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Huanuco
5:1
May 12, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Huanuco vs Sport Huancayo
0:1
Oct 2, 2021 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Huanuco
4:3
May 3, 2021 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Huanuco
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Huanuco Compare

Top Goalscorer Zeta H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sport Huancayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lujan N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Huanuco 36 / 100
Sport Huancayo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Huanuco Sport Huancayo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Huanuco found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Sport Huancayo let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Alianza Huanuco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Huanuco VS Sport Huancayo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza Huanuco

(Home)
18 Jul
Alianza Huanuco
3 : 2
Ayacucho
26 Jun
Alianza Huanuco
3 : 1
Union Minas
19 Jun
AD Tarma
3 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
14 Jun
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Sport Huancayo
31 May
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 2
Binacional
Page 1 of 6

Sport Huancayo

(Away)
20 Jul
A. Lima
2 : 1
Sport Huancayo
11 Jul
Sport Huancayo
3 : 1
Los Chankas
26 Jun
Sport Huancayo
1 : 0
AD Tarma
21 Jun
Union Minas
1 : 2
Sport Huancayo
14 Jun
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Atl.33005:19
2Carlos Mannucci32016:46
3A. Lima30122:51
4Cesar Vallejo30122:51
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ADA Jaen21102:04
2Juan Pablo II20200:02
3Comerciantes Unidos20110:21
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cajamarca21105:34
2Llacuabamba20203:32
3FC Cajamarca20112:41
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Grau21104:34
2Pirata21014:33
3Universitario de Deportes20111:31
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sport Huancayo32104:27
2AD Tarma31113:24
3Alianza Huanuco31115:54
4Union Minas30122:51
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cienciano33006:29
2Deportivo Garcilaso31115:34
3Binacional31025:93
4Cusco30124:61
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Los Chankas22004:06
2Santos FC21012:43
3Ayacucho20021:30
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Moquegua21103:24
2Tacna Heroica21015:53
3FBC Melgar20112:31
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sport Boys21105:24
2AD Cantolao21014:63
3U. San Martin20115:61
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting Cristal32105:27
2Comerciantes FC31202:15
3Union Comercio31023:43
4Estudiantil CNI30122:51
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)