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Alianza Huanuco vs Tacna Heroica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Heraclio Tapia, Huánuco
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Ventura C.
Own Goal
29' Event
Rodriguez K.
30' Event
Succar A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Alianza Huanuco
35%
Draws
43%
Tacna Heroica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tacna Heroica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Tacna Heroica have won more games recently than Alianza Huanuco.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 17%
Tacna Heroica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Huanuco Tacna Heroica
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.44 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Tacna Heroica
2:2
Aug 24, 2026 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Tacna Heroica
1:0
May 9, 2026 Liga 2
Tacna Heroica vs Alianza Huanuco
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Huanuco Compare

Top Goalscorer Succar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Tacna Heroica Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Huanuco 36 / 100
Tacna Heroica 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Huanuco Tacna Heroica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tacna Heroica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Huanuco scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Tacna Heroica let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Alianza Huanuco went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Huanuco VS Tacna Heroica
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza Huanuco

(Home)
06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
27 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 2
Tacna Heroica
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
06 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Union Minas
29 Aug
Estudiantil CNI
3 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
Page 1 of 6

Tacna Heroica

(Away)
08 Oct
Tacna Heroica
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
27 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 2
Tacna Heroica
12 Sept
Estudiantil CNI
1 : 1
Tacna Heroica
30 Aug
Tacna Heroica
3 : 1
Santos FC
24 Aug
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 0
Tacna Heroica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 2 1 0 1 3:4 5
2 Union Minas 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Pirata 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
4 Ayacucho 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llacuabamba 2 1 1 0 4:0 5
2 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Sport Huancayo 2 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Comerciantes FC 2 0 0 2 0:5 2
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carlos Mannucci 2 1 1 0 7:0 6
2 Tacna Heroica 2 0 2 0 2:2 3
3 U. San Martin 2 1 0 1 2:8 3
4 Alianza Huanuco 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams