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Alianza Huanuco vs Tacna Heroica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Heraclio Tapia, Huánuco
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Inga J.
44'
Lopez J.
47'
Ortega F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Alianza Huanuco and Tacna Heroica finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alianza Huanuco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Alianza Huanuco
35%
Draws
43%
Tacna Heroica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tacna Heroica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tacna Heroica come out ahead of Alianza Huanuco on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 17%
Tacna Heroica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Huanuco Tacna Heroica
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.44 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Tacna Heroica
2:2
Aug 24, 2026 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Tacna Heroica
1:0
May 9, 2026 Liga 2
Tacna Heroica vs Alianza Huanuco
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Huanuco Compare

Top Goalscorer Labrin V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Tacna Heroica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Huanuco 36 / 100
Tacna Heroica 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Huanuco Tacna Heroica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tacna Heroica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alianza Huanuco scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Tacna Heroica let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Alianza Huanuco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Huanuco VS Tacna Heroica
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza Huanuco

(Home)
06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
27 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 2
Tacna Heroica
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
06 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Union Minas
29 Aug
Estudiantil CNI
3 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
Page 1 of 6

Tacna Heroica

(Away)
08 Oct
Tacna Heroica
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
27 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 2
Tacna Heroica
12 Sept
Estudiantil CNI
1 : 1
Tacna Heroica
30 Aug
Tacna Heroica
3 : 1
Santos FC
24 Aug
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 0
Tacna Heroica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)