Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza Huanuco vs Union Huaral

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2023 Estadio Heraclio Tapia
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Marina J.
44'
Laura A.
46'
Sub
Gutierrez J. In: Rengifo R.
Out: Gutierrez J.

AI Match Summary

Alianza Huanuco in this Liga 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alianza Huanuco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alianza Huanuco
6%
Draws
4%
Union Huaral
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alianza Huanuco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alianza Huanuco lately — more wins on the board than Union Huaral.
  • Alianza Huanuco are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Alianza Huanuco have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 68%
Union Huaral Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Huanuco Union Huaral
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 2
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2024 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Alianza Huanuco
0:3
Apr 27, 2024 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Union Huaral
3:0
Sep 27, 2023 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Union Huaral
1:0
Jul 3, 2023 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Alianza Huanuco
1:2
Aug 14, 2022 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Alianza Huanuco
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Huanuco Compare

Top Goalscorer Sernaque J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Union Huaral Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Huanuco 95 / 100
Union Huaral 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Huanuco Union Huaral

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Huanuco scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Union Huaral has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Union Huaral has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Huanuco VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes Unidos26203354:2263
2Los Chankas26165572:2553
3Alianza Huanuco26156543:2551
4Llacuabamba26137644:3146
5Santos FC26126832:2442
6Comerciantes FC26116927:2639
7U. San Martin261061034:3036
8Deportivo Coopsol261061030:2936
9Juan Aurich26710923:2731
10Union Huaral26591222:3424
11Ayacucho26581337:5023
12Pirata26561522:5921
13Carlos Stein26152026:768
14Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)26691136:4427