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Stadium Background

Alianza Huanuco vs Union Minas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Heraclio Tapia, Huánuco
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Quina M.
51' Event
Valverde M.
(Penalty)
60'
Agurto A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Alianza Huanuco
35%
Draws
50%
Union Minas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Minas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Union Minas have won more games recently than Alianza Huanuco.
  • Model gives Union Minas a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Alianza Huanuco have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 10%
Union Minas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Huanuco Union Minas
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.44 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs Union Minas
1:1
Jun 26, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Alianza Huanuco vs Union Minas
3:1
May 23, 2026 Liga 2
Union Minas vs Alianza Huanuco
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Huanuco Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Union Minas Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza Huanuco 26 / 100
Union Minas 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Huanuco Union Minas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Minas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza Huanuco found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Alianza Huanuco went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Union Minas conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza Huanuco VS Union Minas
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza Huanuco

(Home)
06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
27 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 2
Tacna Heroica
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
06 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Union Minas
29 Aug
Estudiantil CNI
3 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
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Union Minas

(Away)
06 Oct
Union Minas
4 : 1
Union Comercio
26 Sept
Ayacucho
1 : 0
Union Minas
12 Sept
Union Minas
2 : 0
Santos FC
06 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Union Minas
30 Aug
Union Minas
2 : 1
Sport Huancayo 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)