Sport Picks
Alianza vs Deportes Tolima
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar 
AI Match Summary
Alianza host Deportes Tolima in the Primera A. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Alianza have averaged 1 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Deportes Tolima's 1.38 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Deportes Tolima slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.00, favoring Deportes Tolima. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Alianza haven't matched Deportes Tolima's recent run of results.
- Model gives Alianza a 60% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Deportes Tolima have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alianza | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 35 |
| Wins | 8 | 17 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Alianza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Difficult form: Deportes Tolima registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Alianza's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Alianza
(Home)Deportes Tolima
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Chico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | America De Cali | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotá | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Atl. Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Aguilas Doradas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Alianza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 17 | Junior | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 18 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
