Sport Picks
Alianza vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar 
AI Match Summary
Alianza host Fortaleza C.E.I.F. in the Primera A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Alianza at 1.25 goals for, 1.13 against; Fortaleza C.E.I.F. at 1.25 for, 0.88 against. Past meetings favor Alianza slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.06 - 1.19) back Alianza to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Alianza and Fortaleza C.E.I.F. have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alianza | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Fortaleza C.E.I.F. conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Alianza remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Alianza scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Alianza
(Home)Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Chico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | America De Cali | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotá | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Atl. Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Aguilas Doradas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Alianza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 17 | Junior | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 18 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
