Sport Picks
Alianza vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar 
Match Events
20'
20'
Solis J.
Assist: Vivas S.
26'
26'
Figueroa J.
37'
37'
Montano I.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alianza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Alianza lately — more wins on the board than Fortaleza C.E.I.F..
- 23% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Alianza Clean Sheet 17%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alianza | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.89 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Primera A
Alianza vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Alianza
1:0
Jul 28, 2025 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Alianza
2:2
Mar 26, 2025 Primera A
Alianza vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
0:0
Sep 8, 2024 Primera A
Alianza vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alianza Compare
Top Goalscorer Vergara C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Compare
Top Goalscorer Solis J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alianza 31 / 100
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alianza Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Fortaleza C.E.I.F. conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Alianza scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Alianza has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Alianza VS Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Alianza
(Home) 19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4 Santa Fe
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2 Alianza
13 Sept
Alianza
1 : 0 Junior
10 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Alianza
03 Sept
America De Cali
3 : 0 Alianza
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4 Santa Fe
13 Sept
Alianza
1 : 0 Junior
30 Aug
Alianza
1 : 5 Atl. Nacional
22 Aug
Alianza
0 : 0 Dep. Pereira
09 Aug
Alianza
2 : 3 Bucaramanga
Page 1 of 3
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
(Away) 11 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
05 Sept
Santa Fe
2 : 2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
02 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2 Once Caldas
26 Aug
Chico
0 : 0 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
23 Aug
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2 Atl. Nacional
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
05 Sept
Santa Fe
2 : 2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
26 Aug
Chico
0 : 0 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
04 Aug
Llaneros
3 : 1 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
26 Jul
Alianza
1 : 1 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Millonarios | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 16 |
| 5 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:10 | 16 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | 15 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 14 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Inter Bogotá | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 13 | Cucuta | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 14 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 15 | Alianza | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:20 | 8 |
| 16 | Chico | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:18 | 8 |
| 17 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Dep. Pereira | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 19 | Dep. Pasto | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | 5 |
| 20 | Junior | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
