Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza vs Inter Bogotá - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
09:05 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alianza host Inter Bogotá in the Primera A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Alianza have averaged 1.04 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Inter Bogotá's 1.17 scored and 1.52 conceded. Head-to-head, Alianza have won 2 to Inter Bogotá's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.56) back Inter Bogotá to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Alianza
35%
Draws
19%
Inter Bogotá
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alianza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alianza come out ahead of Inter Bogotá on wins alone.
  • Model gives Alianza a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Alianza Clean Sheet 15%
Inter Bogotá Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Inter Bogotá
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.04 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Alianza
2:1
Oct 24, 2025 Primera A
Alianza vs Inter Bogotá
2:0
May 3, 2025 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Alianza
0:2
Nov 2, 2024 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Alianza
3:2
Apr 15, 2024 Primera A
Alianza vs Inter Bogotá
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza 35 / 100
Inter Bogotá 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Inter Bogotá

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alianza scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Inter Bogotá let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Alianza has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alianza VS Inter Bogotá
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza

(Home)
09 Oct
Alianza
2 : 2
Aguilas Doradas
03 Oct
Dep. Cali
3 : 1
Alianza
27 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 2
Alianza
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4
Santa Fe
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2
Alianza
Page 1 of 6

Inter Bogotá

(Away)
10 Oct
Junior
2 : 2
Inter Bogotá
04 Oct
Inter Bogotá
1 : 1
Once Caldas
26 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Inter Bogotá
20 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 0
Inter Bogotá
17 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 3
Atl. Nacional
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 13 8 3 2 25:9 27
2 Dep. Cali 13 7 4 2 20:9 25
3 Bucaramanga 12 6 6 0 21:11 24
4 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
5 Ind. Medellin 13 7 2 4 21:17 23
6 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
7 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
8 Deportes Tolima 14 5 5 4 17:16 20
9 Cucuta 13 5 3 5 16:19 18
10 Once Caldas 13 4 4 5 16:16 16
11 Aguilas Doradas 13 3 7 3 17:18 16
12 Llaneros 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
13 Inter Bogotá 14 2 8 4 16:20 14
14 Chico 12 3 3 6 10:19 12
15 Alianza 13 3 3 7 14:26 12
16 Junior 13 2 5 6 19:23 11
17 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
18 Jaguares de Cordoba 12 2 4 6 14:22 10
19 Dep. Pereira 13 1 7 5 8:18 10
20 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)