Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
Calderon Chavez K. O.
45'
45'
Ortega Y.
46'
46'
Sub
Rodriguez C. In: Garces J.
Out: Rodriguez C.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this LPF matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Francisco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Alianza lately — more wins on the board than San Francisco.
- Win probability leans San Francisco's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Alianza Clean Sheet 10%
San Francisco Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alianza | San Francisco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 14 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs San Francisco
1:1
Mar 3, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs San Francisco
3:3
Nov 22, 2025 LPF
San Francisco vs Alianza
1:2
Nov 16, 2025 LPF
Alianza vs San Francisco
1:1
Sep 16, 2025 LPF
Alianza vs San Francisco
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alianza Compare
Top Goalscorer Guardia H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ortega Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
San Francisco Compare
Top Goalscorer Calderon Chavez K. O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dinolis R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alianza 26 / 100
San Francisco 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alianza San Francisco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Francisco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Alianza scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.
Defensive concern: San Francisco conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Alianza remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Alianza VS San Francisco
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Alianza
(Home) 29 Sept
Alianza
2 : 0 Independiente
19 Sept
Alianza
0 : 0 Union Deportivo Universitario
13 Sept
Veraguas
2 : 1 Alianza
06 Sept
Alianza
1 : 1 San Francisco
30 Aug
Union Cocle
2 : 2 Alianza
Page 1 of 7
29 Sept
Alianza
2 : 0 Independiente
19 Sept
Alianza
0 : 0 Union Deportivo Universitario
06 Sept
Alianza
1 : 1 San Francisco
25 Aug
Alianza
2 : 0 Tauro
21 Aug
Alianza
1 : 3 Olimpia
Page 1 of 4
San Francisco
(Away) 27 Sept
Tauro
1 : 3 San Francisco
19 Sept
San Francisco
1 : 2 Arabe Unido
15 Sept
Sporting San Miguelito
0 : 2 San Francisco
06 Sept
Alianza
1 : 1 San Francisco
30 Aug
San Francisco
4 : 1 Plaza Amador
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Tauro
1 : 3 San Francisco
15 Sept
Sporting San Miguelito
0 : 2 San Francisco
06 Sept
Alianza
1 : 1 San Francisco
23 Aug
Veraguas
3 : 3 San Francisco
02 Aug
Union Cocle
2 : 1 San Francisco
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Amador | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 31 |
| 2 | Alianza | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 26:20 | 27 |
| 3 | UMECIT | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 28:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Tauro | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 22:19 | 21 |
| 5 | Arabe Unido | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:20 | 21 |
| 6 | Sporting San Miguelito | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | 18 |
Promotion - LPF (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veraguas | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26:23 | 25 |
| 2 | Union Cocle | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Independiente | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 4 | San Francisco | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22:25 | 20 |
| 5 | Union Deportivo Universitario | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19:27 | 14 |
| 6 | Herrera | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13:37 | 8 |
Promotion - LPF (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Clausura - Play Offs)
