Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza vs Union Deportivo Universitario

Panama Panama

LPF 2025 Estadio Javier Cruz
Thu, Nov 13, 2025
3 - 2
01:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Alvarado J.
15'
Casazola M.
29' Event
Edwards A.

AI Match Summary

The LPF 2025 game between Alianza and Union Deportivo Universitario finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alianza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Alianza
17%
Draws
13%
Union Deportivo Universitario
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Alianza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alianza come out ahead of Union Deportivo Universitario on wins alone.
  • Alianza are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular LPF 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Alianza Clean Sheet 68%
Union Deportivo Universitario Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza Union Deportivo Universitario
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 12 11
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.14
Goals Conceded 1 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 LPF
Union Deportivo Universitario vs Alianza
0:1
Nov 13, 2025 LPF
Alianza vs Union Deportivo Universitario
3:2
Sep 20, 2025 LPF
Union Deportivo Universitario vs Alianza
0:0
Mar 18, 2025 LPF
Alianza vs Union Deportivo Universitario
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 LPF
Union Deportivo Universitario vs Alianza
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarado J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perdomo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Union Deportivo Universitario Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza 77 / 100
Union Deportivo Universitario 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza Union Deportivo Universitario

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Union Deportivo Universitario's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Alianza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza VS Union Deportivo Universitario
1.38 Goals Scored 1.14
1 Goals Conceded 1.71
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Plaza Amador-
TBD-
Independiente2
Sporting San Miguelito1
San Francisco-
TBD-
Alianza3
Union Deportivo Universitario2
Semi-finals
Plaza Amador6
Independiente2
San Francisco2
Alianza3
Final
Plaza Amador2
Alianza0