Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza W vs Junior W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2025 Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Hernandez P.
7' Event
Constante S.
Assist: Diaz H.
9' Event
Mendivelso N.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women 2025 game between Alianza W and Junior W finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Junior W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Alianza W
20%
Draws
80%
Junior W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Junior W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alianza W come out ahead of Junior W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Alianza W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Liga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Junior W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Alianza W Clean Sheet 10%
Junior W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alianza W Junior W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 4 11
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 Liga Women
Junior W vs Alianza W
4:3
Apr 27, 2025 Liga Women
Alianza W vs Junior W
2:5
Apr 6, 2024 Liga Women
Alianza W vs Junior W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alianza W Compare

Top Goalscorer Constante S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mendivelso N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Junior W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Julio D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alianza W 34 / 100
Junior W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alianza W Junior W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Junior W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Alianza W scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Junior W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alianza W VS Junior W
1 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza W

(Home)
21 Jun
Real Santander W
3 : 2
Alianza W
14 Jun
Alianza W
0 : 3
Millonarios W
10 Jun
Junior W
4 : 3
Alianza W
24 May
Alianza W
1 : 2
Inter Palmira W
17 May
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0
Alianza W
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Junior W

(Away)
09 Aug
Inter Palmira W
2 : 1
Junior W
03 Aug
Junior W
0 : 1
Bucaramanga W
25 Jul
Junior W
0 : 0
Millonarios W
29 May
Orsomarso W
5 : 1
Junior W
24 May
Junior W
0 : 0
Fortaleza W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cali W 16 12 2 2 35:7 38
2 Indep. Santa Fe W 16 11 2 3 32:12 35
3 Atl. Nacional W 16 7 8 1 22:10 29
4 Ind. Medellin W 16 9 2 5 24:14 29
5 Inter Palmira W 16 8 3 5 19:18 27
6 America de Cali W 16 7 5 4 19:13 26
7 Orsomarso W 16 7 4 5 23:14 25
8 Millonarios W 16 6 6 4 25:20 24
9 Inter Bogotá W 16 6 6 4 14:9 24
10 Dep. Pasto W 16 6 5 5 21:17 23
11 Junior W 16 3 5 8 21:37 14
12 Real Santander W 16 2 7 7 9:18 13
13 Once Caldas W 16 2 6 8 12:23 12
14 Alianza W 16 3 1 12 15:37 10
15 Fortaleza W 16 2 4 10 12:37 10
16 Bucaramanga W 16 1 6 9 5:22 9
Promotion - Liga Women 2025 (Promotion Group)