Sport Picks
Aljustrelense vs Boavista Sao Mateus
Portugal
Taça de Portugal 2010/2011 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Boavista Sao Mateus advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aljustrelense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Aljustrelense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Aljustrelense's way, sitting at 36%.
- Aljustrelense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Boavista Sao Mateus, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Aljustrelense Clean Sheet 14%
Boavista Sao Mateus Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aljustrelense | Boavista Sao Mateus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 | 8 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 16 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2010 Taça de Portugal
Aljustrelense vs Boavista Sao Mateus
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aljustrelense 35 / 100
Boavista Sao Mateus 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aljustrelense Boavista Sao Mateus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Boavista Sao Mateus conceded in 100% of 8 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Aljustrelense scored in 61% of their last 23 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Boavista Sao Mateus has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Aljustrelense VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Aljustrelense
(Home) 10 Apr
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 0 Aljustrelense
03 Apr
Aljustrelense
2 : 1 Moura AC
14 Mar
Aljustrelense
1 : 2 Louletano
07 Mar
Amora
5 : 0 Aljustrelense
25 Feb
Aljustrelense
1 : 2 Pinhalnovense
Page 1 of 5
03 Apr
Aljustrelense
2 : 1 Moura AC
14 Mar
Aljustrelense
1 : 2 Louletano
25 Feb
Aljustrelense
1 : 2 Pinhalnovense
17 Feb
Aljustrelense
0 : 1 Amora
31 Jan
Aljustrelense
1 : 0 Esperanca de Lagos
Page 1 of 3
Boavista Sao Mateus
(Away) 28 Aug
Boavista Sao Mateus
0 : 1 Redondense
19 Sept
Boavista Sao Mateus
0 : 1 AD Pontassolense
05 Sept
Aljustrelense
1 : 2 Boavista Sao Mateus
30 Aug
U. Madeira
6 : 0 Boavista Sao Mateus
18 Oct
Boavista Sao Mateus
0 : 1 Naval
Page 1 of 2
05 Sept
Aljustrelense
1 : 2 Boavista Sao Mateus
30 Aug
U. Madeira
6 : 0 Boavista Sao Mateus
01 Sept
CD Rabo Peixe
1 : 0 Boavista Sao Mateus
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Porto4
AD Limianos1
Operario0
Moreirense2
Santa Maria FC1
Penalva do Castelo0
Santa Clara0
Juv. Evora1
Leixoes3
Mafra2
AD Pontassolense1
SC Espinho4
Tirsense5
Sampedrense1
AD Fafe0
Pinhalnovense3
Rio Ave4
Estrela Vendas Novas1
Anadia1
Feirense2
GD Tourizense2
Aliados Lordelo1
Macedo de Cavaleiros1
Atletico CP3
Olhanense1
Sertanense0
Padroense2
Nacional4
Braga2
1º Dezembro1
Arouca1
Benfica5
Academica2
FC Cesarense1
SC Mirandela1
Beira Mar2
Bombarralense0
Louletano0
Leiria1
U. Madeira2
Sporting CP2
Estoril1
Sao Joao de Ver1
Pacos Ferreira3
Maritimo2
Naval0
Gil Vicente1
Vitoria Setubal2
Merelinense2
SC Farense1
Fatima0
Carregado1
Ribeirao2
BSAD0
Gondomar0
Varzim1
Torreense1
Lagoa0
Coimbroes1
Mondinense2
Portimonense2
Cinfaes0
Malveira0
Vitoria Guimaraes4
1/16-finals
FC Porto1
Moreirense0
Santa Maria FC0
Juv. Evora3
Leixoes2
SC Espinho1
Tirsense0
Pinhalnovense2
Rio Ave3
Feirense0
GD Tourizense2
Atletico CP3
Olhanense1
Nacional0
Braga0
Benfica2
Academica2
Beira Mar0
Bombarralense-
U. Madeira-
Sporting CP1
Pacos Ferreira0
Maritimo1
Vitoria Setubal2
Merelinense2
Carregado0
Ribeirao3
Varzim4
Torreense2
Mondinense1
Portimonense1
Vitoria Guimaraes2
1/8-finals
FC Porto4
Juv. Evora0
Leixoes1
Pinhalnovense2
Rio Ave4
Atletico CP1
Olhanense0
Benfica5
Academica3
U. Madeira1
Sporting CP1
Vitoria Setubal2
Merelinense2
Varzim1
Torreense0
Vitoria Guimaraes2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto2
Pinhalnovense0
Rio Ave0
Benfica2
Academica3
Vitoria Setubal2
Merelinense0
Vitoria Guimaraes2
Semi-finals
FC Porto3
Benfica3
Academica0
Vitoria Guimaraes1
Final
FC Porto6
Vitoria Guimaraes2
