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Aljustrelense vs Imortal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aljustrelense host Imortal in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Imortal have shipped 1.69 goals a game lately, while Aljustrelense have conceded 1.89 and scored 0.67. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.23 - 1.41) back Aljustrelense to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Aljustrelense
20%
Draws
51%
Imortal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Imortal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aljustrelense come out ahead of Imortal on wins alone.
  • Imortal are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Aljustrelense Clean Sheet 17%
Imortal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aljustrelense Imortal
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 4
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.67 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.41
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aljustrelense 23 / 100
Imortal 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aljustrelense Imortal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imortal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imortal has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Aljustrelense found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (27 games).

Solid form: Aljustrelense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Imortal has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aljustrelense VS Imortal
0.71 Goals Scored 1.25
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.75
86% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aljustrelense

(Home)
27 Sept
Aljustrelense
0 : 2
GD Alcochetense
20 Sept
AD Limianos
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
13 Sept
Portel
1 : 1
Aljustrelense
30 Aug
Ferreiras
0 : 3
Aljustrelense
23 Aug
Sintrense
4 : 0
Aljustrelense
Page 1 of 6

Imortal

(Away)
19 Sept
Imortal
1 : 5
Tondela
13 Sept
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1
Imortal
06 Sept
Imortal
0 : 2
Sintrense
23 Aug
Imortal
1 : 0
Lagoa
16 Aug
Imortal
5 : 0
1º Dezembro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sintrense 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Imortal 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Amora 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
4 Serpa 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
5 Real SC 4 1 3 0 8:7 6
6 Juv. Evora 4 1 2 1 6:7 5
7 Lagoa 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
8 GD Alcochetense 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
9 Vitoria Setubal 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
10 Portel 4 0 4 0 6:6 4
11 Lajense 4 1 1 2 7:7 4
12 1º Dezembro 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
13 Aljustrelense 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
14 Santa Clara B 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)