Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aljustrelense vs Juv. Evora

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group H matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Aljustrelense
20%
Draws
61%
Juv. Evora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juv. Evora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Juv. Evora lately — more wins on the board than Aljustrelense.
  • Juv. Evora are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Aljustrelense Clean Sheet 27%
Juv. Evora Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aljustrelense Juv. Evora
Matches Played 25 40
Wins 7 20
Draws 3 14
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.8 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Aljustrelense vs Juv. Evora
1:1
Sep 20, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Juv. Evora vs Aljustrelense
3:1
Sep 13, 2009 Taça de Portugal
Aljustrelense vs Juv. Evora
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aljustrelense 10 / 100
Juv. Evora 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aljustrelense Juv. Evora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juv. Evora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aljustrelense found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (25 games).

Defensive concern: Juv. Evora conceded in 60% of 40 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Aljustrelense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aljustrelense VS Juv. Evora
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aljustrelense

(Home)
16 Aug
Aljustrelense
1 : 1
Lagoa
10 Apr
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 0
Aljustrelense
03 Apr
Aljustrelense
2 : 1
Moura AC
14 Mar
Aljustrelense
1 : 2
Louletano
07 Mar
Amora
5 : 0
Aljustrelense
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Juv. Evora

(Away)
16 Aug
Juv. Evora
3 : 2
GD Alcochetense
18 Apr
Juv. Evora
4 : 1
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
12 Apr
Moncarapachense
0 : 1
Juv. Evora
04 Apr
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Industria
22 Mar
Serpa
0 : 3
Juv. Evora
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 20 15 5 0 49:20 50
2 Amora 20 13 5 2 34:13 44
3 Olhanense 20 10 5 5 27:17 35
4 Louletano 20 8 10 2 30:18 34
5 Moncarapachense 20 6 7 7 22:21 25
6 Pinhalnovense 20 7 4 9 26:30 25
7 Juv. Evora 20 6 6 8 27:36 24
8 Esperanca de Lagos 20 6 5 9 25:26 23
9 Lusitano GC 20 6 5 9 19:23 23
10 Aljustrelense 20 4 2 14 12:41 14
11 Moura AC 20 0 4 16 17:43 4
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)