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Aljustrelense vs Moncarapachense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Aljustrelense Logo

Aljustrelense

1 - 0
FT
Moncarapachense Logo

Moncarapachense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aljustrelense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group H matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aljustrelense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Aljustrelense
20%
Draws
51%
Moncarapachense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Moncarapachense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aljustrelense haven't matched Moncarapachense's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Moncarapachense taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Aljustrelense Clean Sheet 17%
Moncarapachense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aljustrelense Moncarapachense
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 10
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.8 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Moncarapachense vs Aljustrelense
4:1
Oct 4, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Aljustrelense vs Moncarapachense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aljustrelense 10 / 100
Moncarapachense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aljustrelense Moncarapachense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moncarapachense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aljustrelense found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Moncarapachense has conceded goals in 64% of their last 39 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Aljustrelense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aljustrelense VS Moncarapachense
0.83 Goals Scored 1
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aljustrelense

(Home)
27 Sept
Aljustrelense
0 : 2
GD Alcochetense
20 Sept
AD Limianos
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
13 Sept
Portel
1 : 1
Aljustrelense
30 Aug
Ferreiras
0 : 3
Aljustrelense
23 Aug
Sintrense
4 : 0
Aljustrelense
Page 1 of 6

Moncarapachense

(Away)
18 Apr
O Elvas CAD
0 : 0
Moncarapachense
12 Apr
Moncarapachense
0 : 1
Juv. Evora
04 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0
Moncarapachense
22 Mar
Moncarapachense
2 : 0
Sintrense
15 Mar
Portimonense B
0 : 3
Moncarapachense
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 20 15 5 0 49:20 50
2 Amora 20 13 5 2 34:13 44
3 Olhanense 20 10 5 5 27:17 35
4 Louletano 20 8 10 2 30:18 34
5 Moncarapachense 20 6 7 7 22:21 25
6 Pinhalnovense 20 7 4 9 26:30 25
7 Juv. Evora 20 6 6 8 27:36 24
8 Esperanca de Lagos 20 6 5 9 25:26 23
9 Lusitano GC 20 6 5 9 19:23 23
10 Aljustrelense 20 4 2 14 12:41 14
11 Moura AC 20 0 4 16 17:43 4
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)