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Aljustrelense vs Pinhalnovense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group H game between Aljustrelense and Pinhalnovense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pinhalnovense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Aljustrelense
35%
Draws
39%
Pinhalnovense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pinhalnovense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Pinhalnovense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Pinhalnovense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Aljustrelense Clean Sheet 11%
Pinhalnovense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aljustrelense Pinhalnovense
Matches Played 24 22
Wins 5 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.63 1.55
Goals Conceded 2 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Aljustrelense vs Pinhalnovense
1:2
Nov 15, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Pinhalnovense vs Aljustrelense
3:1
Feb 9, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Pinhalnovense vs Aljustrelense
4:3
Sep 15, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Aljustrelense vs Pinhalnovense
2:2
Jan 22, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Aljustrelense vs Pinhalnovense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aljustrelense 22 / 100
Pinhalnovense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aljustrelense Pinhalnovense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinhalnovense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Pinhalnovense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 22 matches.

Aljustrelense's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Aljustrelense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aljustrelense VS Pinhalnovense
0.33 Goals Scored 1.88
1.67 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aljustrelense

(Home)
23 Aug
Sintrense
4 : 0
Aljustrelense
16 Aug
Aljustrelense
1 : 1
Lagoa
10 Apr
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 0
Aljustrelense
03 Apr
Aljustrelense
2 : 1
Moura AC
14 Mar
Aljustrelense
1 : 2
Louletano
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Pinhalnovense

(Away)
12 Dec
Juv. Evora
0 : 0
Pinhalnovense
05 Dec
Pinhalnovense
4 : 1
Serpa
28 Nov
Louletano
2 : 2
Pinhalnovense
07 Nov
Pinhalnovense
0 : 0
FC Barreirense
31 Oct
Esperanca de Lagos
4 : 2
Pinhalnovense
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 20 15 5 0 49:20 50
2 Amora 20 13 5 2 34:13 44
3 Olhanense 20 10 5 5 27:17 35
4 Louletano 20 8 10 2 30:18 34
5 Moncarapachense 20 6 7 7 22:21 25
6 Pinhalnovense 20 7 4 9 26:30 25
7 Juv. Evora 20 6 6 8 27:36 24
8 Esperanca de Lagos 20 6 5 9 25:26 23
9 Lusitano GC 20 6 5 9 19:23 23
10 Aljustrelense 20 4 2 14 12:41 14
11 Moura AC 20 0 4 16 17:43 4
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)