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Alliance Lipova Dolina vs VPK-Agro

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alliance Lipova Dolina play VPK-Agro in the Persha Liga 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alliance Lipova Dolina averaged 2 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. VPK-Agro averaged 0.82 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Alliance Lipova Dolina won 3, VPK-Agro won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 22, 2021 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Alliance Lipova Dolina and 1.00 for VPK-Agro. This points to a VPK-Agro double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Alliance Lipova Dolina
40%
Draws
30%
VPK-Agro
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: VPK-Agro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Alliance Lipova Dolina picked up more points recently compared to VPK-Agro.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Alliance Lipova Dolina Clean Sheet 23%
VPK-Agro Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alliance Lipova Dolina VPK-Agro
Matches Played 15 17
Wins 8 4
Draws 2 3
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2021 Persha Liga
Alliance Lipova Dolina vs VPK-Agro
3:3
Aug 14, 2021 Persha Liga
VPK-Agro vs Alliance Lipova Dolina
0:3
Nov 29, 2020 Persha Liga
VPK-Agro vs Alliance Lipova Dolina
1:3
Sep 5, 2020 Persha Liga
Alliance Lipova Dolina vs VPK-Agro
3:2
Apr 4, 2020 Druha Liga
Alliance Lipova Dolina vs VPK-Agro
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alliance Lipova Dolina Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

VPK-Agro Compare

Top Goalscorer Shevchenko Y.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alliance Lipova Dolina 32 / 100
VPK-Agro 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alliance Lipova Dolina VPK-Agro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: VPK-Agro or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alliance Lipova Dolina attacking → ← attacking VPK-Agro

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alliance Lipova Dolina scored in 80% of their last 15 games.

VPK-Agro let in goals in 82% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Alliance Lipova Dolina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

VPK-Agro lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 15
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Metalist Kharkiv20172152:953
2Kryvbas20126238:1742
3Alliance Lipova Dolina19103633:2433
4Obolon19103624:1633
5Nyva Ternopil2085722:2229
6Hirnyk-Sport2085715:1729
7Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)2084827:2628
8FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi2075819:1826
9Polissya Zhytomyr1874721:1725
10Volyn Lutsk1967617:2025
11Olimpik Donetsk19721019:2323
12Kramatorsk18711016:2422
13Ahrobiznes Volochysk2049716:2321
14VPK-Agro20531216:2818
15FC Uzhhorod20441216:4016
16Kremin20411516:4313
17MFK Mykolaiv00000:00
18Minaj00000:00