Sport Picks
Match Events
56'
56'
Datius P.
68'
68'
Mwinyishehe S.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 game between Alliance and Mbao finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mbao
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Mbao carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Mbao a 39% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Alliance Clean Sheet 17%
Mbao Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alliance | Mbao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Alliance vs Mbao
1:1
Aug 24, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbao vs Alliance
1:1
Jan 5, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbao vs Alliance
0:0
Aug 22, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Alliance vs Mbao
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alliance Compare
Top Goalscorer Mwinyishehe S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Mbao Compare
Top Goalscorer Datius P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alliance 20 / 100
Mbao 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alliance Mbao
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mbao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alliance found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Mbao let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Alliance remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Games between these two average 1.25 goals.
Scoring Trends
Alliance VS Mbao
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Alliance
(Home) 26 Jul
Alliance
3 : 2 Namungo
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2 Ndanda
19 Jul
Simba
5 : 1 Alliance
15 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1 Alliance
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0 Lipuli
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26 Jul
Alliance
3 : 2 Namungo
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2 Ndanda
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0 Lipuli
05 Jul
Alliance
1 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
27 Jun
Alliance
1 : 0 Coastal Union
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Mbao
(Away) 01 Aug
Mbao
4 : 2 Singida Black Stars
29 Jul
Singida Black Stars
2 : 0 Mbao
26 Jul
Mbao
2 : 0 Ndanda
22 Jul
Mbao
3 : 0 Namungo
19 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1 Mbao
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29 Jul
Singida Black Stars
2 : 0 Mbao
19 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1 Mbao
16 Jul
Simba
2 : 3 Mbao
14 Jun
Azam
2 : 0 Mbao
17 Mar
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbao
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 38 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 78:21 | 88 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 45:28 | 72 |
| 3 | Azam | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 52:26 | 70 |
| 4 | Namungo | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 46:37 | 64 |
| 5 | Polisi Tanzania | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 37:35 | 55 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 34:32 | 54 |
| 7 | Coastal Union | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 33:30 | 53 |
| 8 | Kagera Sugar | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:41 | 52 |
| 9 | Biashara Mara United | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 29:27 | 50 |
| 10 | Tanzania Prisons | 38 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 35:30 | 49 |
| 11 | Mwadui | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 39:45 | 47 |
| 12 | Ruvu Shooting | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 34:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Kinondoni MC | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35:47 | 46 |
| 14 | Mtibwa Sugar | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 30:34 | 45 |
| 15 | Mbeya City | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:42 | 45 |
| 16 | Mbao | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:43 | 45 |
| 17 | Alliance | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 36:48 | 45 |
| 18 | Lipuli | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 43:51 | 44 |
| 19 | Ndanda | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 28:35 | 41 |
| 20 | Singida United | 38 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 23:73 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)
