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Alloa vs Airdrieonians - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One Recreation Park, Alloa
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alloa host Airdrieonians in the League One. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Airdrieonians have shipped 1.57 goals a game lately, while Alloa have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.43. Past meetings favor Alloa slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 2.19, favoring Alloa. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Alloa
20%
Draws
51%
Airdrieonians
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Airdrieonians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Alloa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alloa's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Alloa Clean Sheet 10%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alloa Airdrieonians
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 League One
Airdrieonians vs Alloa
1:0
May 9, 2026 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Alloa
1:2
May 5, 2026 Championship
Alloa vs Airdrieonians
1:0
Dec 9, 2025 Challenge Cup
Alloa vs Airdrieonians
2:3
Jul 26, 2025 League Cup
Airdrieonians vs Alloa
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alloa 47 / 100
Airdrieonians 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alloa Airdrieonians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alloa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alloa scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Airdrieonians has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Alloa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alloa VS Airdrieonians
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Alloa

(Home)
24 Oct
Alloa
0 : 1
Queen of the South
17 Oct
East Fife
0 : 3
Alloa
13 Oct
Annan
0 : 0
Alloa
10 Oct
Alloa
0 : 3
Hamilton
03 Oct
Ross County
4 : 1
Alloa
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Airdrieonians

(Away)
24 Oct
Ross County
4 : 0
Airdrieonians
17 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 2
Hamilton
13 Oct
Airdrieonians
3 : 2
Hearts B
10 Oct
East Kilbride
2 : 2
Airdrieonians
03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Montrose
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 12 10 2 0 43:7 32
2 Hamilton 12 10 2 0 26:5 32
3 Montrose 12 6 1 5 17:20 19
4 East Kilbride 11 5 3 3 20:15 18
5 Airdrieonians 12 3 4 5 10:19 13
6 Queen of the South 12 4 1 7 13:34 13
7 Alloa 12 3 3 6 12:14 12
8 Peterhead 12 3 1 8 9:20 10
9 East Fife 12 1 6 5 9:16 9
10 Cove Rangers 11 1 3 7 9:18 6
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)