Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alloa vs Celtic B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Recreation Park, Alloa
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Ure K.
Assist: Hatton T.
40' Event
Foster O.
Assist: Orsi K.
51' Event
Orsi K.
Assist: Graham A.

AI Match Summary

Alloa in this Challenge Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 5-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Alloa
20%
Draws
40%
Celtic B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alloa lately — more wins on the board than Celtic B.
  • Win probability leans Celtic B's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Alloa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Alloa, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Alloa Clean Sheet 10%
Celtic B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alloa Celtic B
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.54 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Challenge Cup
Alloa vs Celtic B
5:4
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Alloa vs Celtic B
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Foster O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Orsi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Celtic B Compare

Top Goalscorer Ure K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonnar J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alloa 10 / 100
Celtic B 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alloa Celtic B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic B let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Alloa found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Alloa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alloa VS Celtic B
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alloa

(Home)
08 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 0
Alloa
01 Aug
Alloa
0 : 0
East Fife
25 Jul
Ayr
4 : 1
Alloa
21 Jul
Alloa
2 : 1
Falkirk
18 Jul
Alloa
3 : 2
Stranraer
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Celtic B

(Away)
08 Aug
Renfrew
3 : 5
Celtic B
01 Aug
Celtic B
1 : 1
Johnstone Burgh
28 Jul
Celtic B
6 : 1
Clydebank FC
25 Jul
Beith
3 : 2
Celtic B
04 Jul
Peterhead
3 : 1
Celtic B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 6 6 0 0 26:4 18
2 Stenhousemuir 6 6 0 0 18:2 18
3 Montrose 6 5 1 0 18:9 16
4 East Fife 6 4 1 1 17:9 13
5 Stranraer 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
6 East Kilbride 6 4 0 2 13:11 12
7 Forfar Athletic 6 4 0 2 10:8 12
8 Edinburgh City 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
9 Spartans 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
10 Elgin City 6 3 2 1 11:9 11
11 Dumbarton 6 3 2 1 10:8 11
12 Annan 6 3 1 2 15:10 10
13 Alloa 6 3 1 2 17:14 10
14 Kelty Hearts 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
15 Clyde 6 3 1 2 14:12 10
16 Queen of the South 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
17 Hamilton 6 3 1 2 13:8 9
18 Stirling 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
19 Cove Rangers 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
20 Peterhead 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
21 Celtic B 6 2 0 4 12:15 6
22 Hearts B 6 2 0 4 9:14 6
23 Hibernian B 6 1 2 3 11:14 5
24 St. Mirren B 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
25 Dundee Utd B 6 1 0 5 5:18 3
26 Aberdeen B 6 0 1 5 9:20 1
27 Motherwell B 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
28 Rangers B 6 0 0 6 6:16 0
29 Kilmarnock B 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
30 Dundee FC B 6 0 0 6 4:21 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)