Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Recreation Park, Alloa

Alloa

Tue, Jul 21, 2026

2 - 1

06:45 PM

Falkirk

Our Tip

Match Events

39'

Tanser S.

Assist: Spencer B.

46'

Sub

Sibbald C. In: Laidlaw E.

Out: Sibbald C.

58'

Sub

Melniks D. In: Neilson L.

Out: Melniks D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Alloa

35%

Draws

32%

Falkirk

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Alloa come out ahead of Falkirk on wins alone.
Model gives Alloa a 33% chance of winning this.
Alloa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Falkirk, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Alloa Clean Sheet 68%

Falkirk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alloa	Falkirk
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	13	12
Draws	5	4
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	1.38	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.53
Expected Goals (xG)	1.40	0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 League Cup

Alloa vs Falkirk

2:1

Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly

Falkirk vs Alloa

2:2

May 4, 2024 League One

Falkirk vs Alloa

2:2

Jan 27, 2024 League One

Alloa vs Falkirk

0:5

Oct 28, 2023 League One

Falkirk vs Alloa

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Glasgow K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.7

Falkirk Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanser S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.62

Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alloa 50 / 100

Falkirk 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alloa Falkirk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alloa Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 4:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Alloa scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Falkirk conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Alloa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alloa VS Falkirk

1.5 Goals Scored 0.86

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.29

75% Over 1.5 86%

38% Over 2.5 43%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alloa

(Home)

22 Sept

Alloa

4 : 1

Hibernian B

19 Sept

Alloa

1 : 2

East Kilbride

12 Sept

Airdrieonians

1 : 0

Alloa

08 Sept

Clydebank FC

1 : 1

Alloa

05 Sept

Cove Rangers

1 : 1

Alloa

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Falkirk

(Away)

19 Sept

St Johnstone

1 : 1

Falkirk

15 Sept

Falkirk

2 : 1

Hearts

05 Sept

Dundee Utd

1 : 1

Falkirk

02 Sept

Falkirk

1 : 2

Rangers

29 Aug

Celtic

2 : 1

Falkirk

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