Sport Picks
Alloa vs Gala Fairydean Rovers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup Recreation Park, Alloa 
Match Events
10'
10'
Reilly C.
Assist: Dougal E.
48'
48'
Forbes B.
Assist: Aitken M.
61'
61'
Reilly C.
Assist: Denholm T.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alloa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Alloa carry the better recent record into this one.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Alloa taking it.
- Alloa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Alloa Clean Sheet 68%
Gala Fairydean Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alloa | Gala Fairydean Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Challenge Cup
Alloa vs Gala Fairydean Rovers
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alloa Compare
Top Goalscorer Forbes B.
1 Goals Assists Leader O'Donnell C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Gala Fairydean Rovers Compare
Top Goalscorer Reilly C.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alloa 77 / 100
Gala Fairydean Rovers 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alloa Gala Fairydean Rovers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alloa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Alloa's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Gala Fairydean Rovers has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Difficult form: Gala Fairydean Rovers registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alloa VS Gala Fairydean Rovers
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Alloa
(Home) 10 Oct
Alloa
0 : 3 Hamilton
03 Oct
Ross County
4 : 1 Alloa
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2 Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Alloa
4 : 1 Hibernian B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2 East Kilbride
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
Alloa
0 : 3 Hamilton
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2 Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Alloa
4 : 1 Hibernian B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2 East Kilbride
29 Aug
Alloa
1 : 1 Peterhead
Page 1 of 4
Gala Fairydean Rovers
(Away) 03 Oct
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 1 Largs Thistle
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2 Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 0 Spartans
19 Sept
Tranent FC
2 : 1 Gala Fairydean Rovers
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2 Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2 Gala Fairydean Rovers
19 Sept
Tranent FC
2 : 1 Gala Fairydean Rovers
12 Sept
Musselburgh
2 : 0 Gala Fairydean Rovers
25 Aug
Stranraer
3 : 0 Gala Fairydean Rovers
08 Aug
Linlithgow Rose
5 : 0 Gala Fairydean Rovers
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clydebank FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Ross County | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Elgin City | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Peterhead | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 7 | Alloa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 9 | East Kilbride | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 10 |
| 10 | Stirling | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 11 | Edinburgh City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 12 | St. Mirren B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamilton | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 14 | Montrose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 15 | Celtic B | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15:12 | 9 |
| 16 | Formartine Utd | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 17 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 9 |
| 18 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 19 | Hearts B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Annan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 21 | Spartans | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 22 | Aberdeen B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 23 | East Fife | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 7 |
| 24 | Forfar Athletic | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 25 | Berwick | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 26 | Dumbarton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Stranraer | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13:12 | 6 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 29 | Clachnacuddin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 30 | Kilmarnock B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 31 | Banks O' Dee | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | 4 |
| 32 | Fraserburgh | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:18 | 4 |
| 33 | Clyde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 34 | Dundee Utd B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 35 | Cumbernauld Colts | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:13 | 2 |
| 36 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:15 | 2 |
| 37 | Cowdenbeath | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | 0 |
| 38 | Dundee FC B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 0 |
| 39 | Hibernian B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | 0 |
| 40 | Motherwell B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)
