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Alloa vs Hibernian B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Recreation Park, Alloa
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Forbes B.
Assist: Ross L.
50' Event
O'Donnell C.
Assist: Aitken M.
63' Event
Shankland C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Alloa
15%
Draws
0%
Hibernian B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Alloa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Alloa taking it.
  • Alloa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Alloa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Alloa Clean Sheet 68%
Hibernian B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alloa Hibernian B
Matches Played 27 18
Wins 12 3
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Challenge Cup
Alloa vs Hibernian B
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Forbes B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader O'Donnell C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Hibernian B Compare

Top Goalscorer Shankland C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.44
Avg xA / game 0.27

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alloa 95 / 100
Hibernian B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alloa Hibernian B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alloa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hibernian B let in goals in 89% of their last 18 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Hibernian B has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Alloa scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alloa VS Hibernian B
1.63 Goals Scored 0.33
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Alloa

(Home)
03 Oct
Ross County
4 : 1
Alloa
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Alloa
4 : 1
Hibernian B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2
East Kilbride
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
Page 1 of 6

Hibernian B

(Away)
26 Sept
Annan
2 : 1
Hibernian B
22 Sept
Alloa
4 : 1
Hibernian B
08 Sept
Berwick
1 : 0
Hibernian B
25 Aug
Queen of the South
1 : 0
Hibernian B
11 Aug
Clydebank FC
4 : 0
Hibernian B
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)