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Stadium Background

Alloa vs Livingston

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Nicholson S.
23' Event
Denholm A.
46'
Sub
Robertson M. In: May S.
Out: Robertson M.

AI Match Summary

Livingston in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Livingston.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Alloa
15%
Draws
39%
Livingston
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alloa lately — more wins on the board than Livingston.
  • Model gives Livingston a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Livingston here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Alloa Clean Sheet 10%
Livingston Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alloa Livingston
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 3 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Alloa vs Livingston
0:3
Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Alloa vs Livingston
1:3
Jun 22, 2024 Club Friendly
Livingston vs Alloa
2:1
Jul 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Livingston vs Alloa
2:0
Jul 17, 2021 League Cup
Alloa vs Livingston
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alloa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Livingston Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicholson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Denholm A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alloa 22 / 100
Livingston 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alloa Livingston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livingston Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alloa's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Livingston has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Alloa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alloa VS Livingston
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alloa

(Home)
15 Aug
Alloa
3 : 0
Montrose
11 Aug
Alloa
2 : 1
Stranraer
08 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 0
Alloa
01 Aug
Alloa
0 : 0
East Fife
25 Jul
Ayr
4 : 1
Alloa
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Livingston

(Away)
07 Aug
Partick
2 : 0
Livingston
01 Aug
Livingston
2 : 0
Queen's Park
25 Jul
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Livingston
21 Jul
Livingston
8 : 0
Forfar Athletic
18 Jul
Livingston
1 : 2
Partick
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