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Alloa vs Motherwell B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Recreation Park, Alloa
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
McCafferty F.
Assist: Buchanan S.
6' Event
Rankin L.
Assist: Forbes B.
61' Event
McCafferty F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Alloa
15%
Draws
0%
Motherwell B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alloa lately — more wins on the board than Motherwell B.
  • Alloa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Alloa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Alloa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Alloa Clean Sheet 68%
Motherwell B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alloa Motherwell B
Matches Played 28 16
Wins 12 0
Draws 5 1
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.43 0.44
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Challenge Cup
Alloa vs Motherwell B
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alloa Compare

Top Goalscorer McCafferty F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rankin L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Motherwell B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.59
Avg xA / game 0.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alloa 95 / 100
Motherwell B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alloa Motherwell B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alloa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motherwell B let in goals in 93% of their last 15 matches.

Motherwell B lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Alloa scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Alloa VS Motherwell B
1.63 Goals Scored 0.67
0.63 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 83%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alloa

(Home)
03 Oct
Ross County
4 : 1
Alloa
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Alloa
4 : 1
Hibernian B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2
East Kilbride
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
Page 1 of 6

Motherwell B

(Away)
26 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 0
Motherwell B
15 Sept
East Fife
4 : 1
Motherwell B
08 Sept
Annan
4 : 0
Motherwell B
25 Aug
Alloa
3 : 0
Motherwell B
11 Aug
Kelty Hearts
4 : 3
Motherwell B
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)