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Alloa vs Motherwell B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Recreation Park, Alloa
Tue, Aug 25, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Challenge Cup. Alloa go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Alloa at 1.58 goals for, 1.48 against; Motherwell B at 0.5 for, 2.42 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.31, favoring Alloa. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Alloa
15%
Draws
0%
Motherwell B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alloa lately — more wins on the board than Motherwell B.
  • Alloa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Alloa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Alloa Clean Sheet 18%
Motherwell B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alloa Motherwell B
Matches Played 31 12
Wins 15 0
Draws 3 1
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.58 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alloa 85 / 100
Motherwell B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alloa Motherwell B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alloa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alloa scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Motherwell B let in goals in 91% of their last 11 matches.

Difficult form: Motherwell B registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Alloa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alloa VS Motherwell B
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alloa

(Home)
15 Aug
Alloa
3 : 0
Montrose
11 Aug
Alloa
2 : 1
Stranraer
08 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 0
Alloa
01 Aug
Alloa
0 : 0
East Fife
25 Jul
Ayr
4 : 1
Alloa
Page 1 of 7

Motherwell B

(Away)
11 Aug
Kelty Hearts
4 : 3
Motherwell B
11 Nov
Queen of the South
3 : 1
Motherwell B
11 Oct
Stenhousemuir
4 : 0
Motherwell B
23 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 0
Motherwell B
06 Sept
Clyde
4 : 0
Motherwell B
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clachnacuddin 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Peterhead 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
3 Rangers B 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
4 Queen of the South 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
5 Clydebank FC 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
6 St. Mirren B 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
7 Formartine Utd 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
8 Aberdeen B 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
9 East Kilbride 1 1 0 0 5:3 3
10 Stirling 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
11 Airdrieonians 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
12 Celtic B 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
13 Edinburgh City 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
14 Montrose 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
15 Hearts B 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
16 Kelty Hearts 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
17 Ross County 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
18 Alloa 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
19 Bonnyrigg Rose 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
20 Spartans 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
21 East Fife 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
22 Motherwell B 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
23 Berwick 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
24 Stranraer 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
25 Elgin City 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
26 Annan 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
27 Kilmarnock B 1 0 0 1 3:5 0
28 Cove Rangers 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
29 Cowdenbeath 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
30 Hamilton 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
31 Dumbarton 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
32 Fraserburgh 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
33 Dundee FC B 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
34 Clyde 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
35 Forfar Athletic 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
36 Banks O' Dee 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
37 Gala Fairydean Rovers 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
38 Cumbernauld Colts 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
39 Hibernian B 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
40 Dundee Utd B 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)