Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alloa vs Peterhead

Scotland Scotland

League One 2025/2026 Recreation Park
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Pawlett P.
34'
Adamson C.
36' Event
Donnelly L.

AI Match Summary

Alloa host Peterhead in the League One 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Alloa at 1.63 goals for, 1.13 against; Peterhead at 1.75 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor Peterhead slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.44) point toward Alloa. Alloa in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Alloa
17%
Draws
70%
Peterhead
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Peterhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Peterhead has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Alloa.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Peterhead.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in League One 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Alloa Clean Sheet 16%
Peterhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alloa Peterhead
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 League One
Alloa vs Peterhead
1:2
Mar 10, 2026 League One
Peterhead vs Alloa
3:1
Dec 6, 2025 League One
Alloa vs Peterhead
4:0
Sep 27, 2025 League One
Peterhead vs Alloa
2:1
Mar 25, 2023 League One
Peterhead vs Alloa
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Donnelly L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Peterhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Shanks K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alloa 15 / 100
Peterhead 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alloa Peterhead

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alloa scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Peterhead let in goals in 83% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Alloa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Peterhead lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alloa VS Peterhead
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness362111460:2469
2Stenhousemuir361813550:2767
3Queen of the South3614121058:4754
4Alloa361581350:3853
5Peterhead361271748:6443
6Montrose361191648:6742
7Cove Rangers369111641:4438
8East Fife36991834:6136
9Hamilton361671354:4234
10Kelty Hearts366111933:6229